中国与“21世纪海上丝绸之路”沿线国家双边贸易影响因素——以南太平洋5岛国为例  

The influencing factors of bilateral trade between China and countries along the"21 st century Maritime Silk Road"—Taking the five South Pacific island countries as an example

作　　者：彭虹[1,2] PENG Hong(College of JinShan,Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University;Research Center for South Pacific Island Countries,Fuzhou,Fujian 350002,China)

机构地区：[1]福建农林大学金山学院 [2]福建农林大学南太平洋研究中心,福建福州350002

出　　处：《福建农林大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》2020年第5期47-53,共7页Journal of Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University(Philosophy and Social Sciences)

基　　金：教育部国别和区域研究项目(120/K41SCE08A);福建省中青年教师教育科研项目(JAS160828);福建省教育厅特色专业项目(Y163702);福建农林大学南太平洋岛国研究中心年度项目(KXJD1829A)。

摘　　要：梳理了中国与南太平洋5岛国双边贸易发展现状,并借助扩展的引力模型实证分析了2001—2018年中国与南太平洋5岛国双边贸易影响因素。实证结果表明:中国与南太平洋5岛国的GDP、中国对南太平洋5岛国的直接投资显著推动了双边贸易的发展;地理位置因素显著阻碍了中国与南太洋5岛国双边贸易发展。随着“21世纪海上丝绸之路”的推进,应重视中国对南太平洋5岛国直接投资对贸易的促进作用,侧重于增加对该地区的基础设施建设投资,以减少双边贸易成本;应推动中国与南太平洋5岛国经贸合作的长远性和务实性;南太平洋5岛国也应积极利用自身优势产业,加强与中国的经贸合作,着力营造良好的贸易环境。The study combs the development status of bilateral trade between China and the five South Pacific island countries,and empirically analyzes the influencing factors of bilateral trade between China and the five South Pacific island countries from 2001 to 2018 with the help of the extended gravity model.The empirical results show that:the GDP of China and the five South Pacific island countries and China′s direct investment in the five South Pacific island countries significantly promote the development of bilateral trade.Geographical location factors significantly hinder the development of bilateral trade between China and the five South Pacific island countries.With the continuous advancement of the 21st century Maritime Silk Road,we should pay attention to the role of China′s direct investment in the five South Pacific island countries in promoting trade,focusing on increasing investment in infrastructure construction in the region,so as to reduce the cost of bilateral trade.We should promote the long-term and pragmatic economic and trade cooperation between China and the five South Pacific island countries,and the five South Pacific island countries should also actively take advantage of their own advantages industry,strengthen economic and trade cooperation with China,and strive to create a good trade environment.

关 键 词：21世纪海上丝绸之路 中国 南太平洋岛国 产业内贸易指数 贸易效应 

分 类 号：F752.7[经济管理—国际贸易]