“一带一路”沿线重点省份旅游经济高质量发展研究——基于旅游资源转换效率的测度  

Study on High Quality Development of Tourism Economy in 18 Key Provinces Along the One Belt and One Road Initiative: Based on the Measurement of Tourism Resource Conversion Efficiency

作　　者：王松茂 褚玉静 郭安禧 郭英之[1,5] Wang Songmao;Chu Yujing;Guo Anxi;Guo Yingzhi(Post-doctoral Station of Business Administration,Department of Tourism,Fudan University,Shanghai 200433,China;College of Economics&Management,Shandong Agriculture University,Taian 271018,Shandong,China;School of Tourism,Shanghai Normal University,Shanghai 200233,China;School of Hotel Management,Shanghai Business School,Shanghai 200235,China;Tourism Department of Fudan University,Shanghai 200433,China)

机构地区：[1]复旦大学工商管理博士后流动站,上海200433 [2]山东农业大学经管学院,山东泰安271018 [3]上海师范大学旅游学院,上海200233 [4]上海商学院酒店管理学院,上海200235 [5]复旦大学旅游学系,上海200433

出　　处：《地理科学》2020年第9期1505-1512,共8页Scientia Geographica Sinica

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(41661110);中国博士后面上基金项目(2018M632028);山东省青年科技创新团队项目(2020RWE009)资助。

摘　　要：从旅游资源转换效率的视角,以"一带一路"沿线18个重点省份为研究靶区,运用修正的DEA模型等方法探究2008—2017年的旅游经济增长质量的时空演变及发展趋势。研究结论有:①10 a间,18个重点省份旅游资源转换效率均值仅为0.312,远未达到生产前沿面。②经过邹检验(Chow test),2014年为"一带一路"沿线18个重点省份旅游资源转换效率时间序列的突变点。③18个重点省份的旅游资源转换效率均存在σ收敛、绝对β收敛和条件β收敛;开放先行区、战略支点区未通过σ收敛检验、战略支点区未通过绝对β收敛。From the perspective of tourism resource conversion efficiency,taking 18 key provinces along the‘One Belt and One Road’as the research target area,this paper applies the modified DEA model,Zou test and convergence test to explore the temporal and spatial variation rules and development trend of the tourism economic growth quality in 2008-2014 and 2014-2017 years two periods.The main contribution of this paper is to measure the conversion efficiency of tourism resources,which is an input factor.It overcomes the shackles that the existing literature only measures the comprehensive efficiency of tourism and cannot judge the conversion efficiency of tourism resources,and provides a new perspective for the study of high-quality development of tourism economy.The results show that:1)In the past ten years,the average efficiency of tourism resources transformation in the 18 key provinces was only 0.312,far from the forefront of production,which further verifies that the development of China’s tourism industry was still in the extensive growth mode of factor expansion,and the high-quality growth mode driven by efficiency had not yet formed.2)After Chow test,it confirmed that 2014 was the mutation point of the time series of tourism resources conversion efficiency in the 18 key provinces along the‘One belt and one road’,which provides a quantitative basis for the‘One Belt and One Road’initiative to enhance the transformation efficiency of tourism resources in various provinces.3)From the perspective of space,in the past ten years,the development of tourism resource conversion efficiency in the provinces of the opening-up leading area,the external window area,the strategic fulcrum area and the core area of the silk belt had been unbalanced,with the average of 0.348,0.311,0.299 and 0.291,which were all at a low level of development and far from the forefront of production.4)There wereσconvergence,absoluteβconvergence and conditionalβconvergence in the conversion efficiency of tourism resources of the 18 key

关 键 词：“一带一路”倡议 旅游资源转换效率 修正DEA模型 收敛检验 

分 类 号：K901[历史地理—人文地理学]