贸易壁垒与中国制造业产出服务化——基于国外对华反倾销经验数据  

Trade Barriers and Servitization of China's Manufacturing Output——Based on Foreign Anti-Dumping Experience Data Against China

作　　者：乔小勇[1] 凌鑫 Qiao Xiaoyong;Ling Xin(College of Economics and Management,Beijing University of Technology,Beijing 100124,China)

机构地区：[1]北京工业大学经济与管理学院,北京100124

出　　处：《中国科技论坛》2020年第11期83-92,共10页Forum on Science and Technology in China

基　　金：国家自然科学基金面上项目“基于全球价值链的政府贸易救济政策决策过程重构与评估方法研究”(71774008),2017年北京市属高校高水平教师队伍建设支持计划青年拔尖项目(CIT&TCD201704022)。

摘　　要：本文基于结构效应与前向联系视角,通过对GAD、WIOD、SEA、UN Comtrade、中国统计年鉴、中国工业经济统计年鉴、中国科技统计年鉴等数据库从产品和产业层面进行匹配对接展开研究,重点考察以反倾销为代表的贸易壁垒对中国制造业国内产出服务化和国外产出服务化的影响效应。研究发现:①从整体“聚集效应”层面贸易壁垒在一定程度上可“倒逼”中国制造业产出服务化水平提升,但这种提升具有结构效应,即贸易壁垒促进制造业国内产出服务化水平,抑制制造业国外产出服务化水平。②在贸易摩擦背景下增强制造业投入服务化有助于产出服务化水平的提升,同时外商直接投资、行业规模、管理效率、开放水平也会对产出服务化水平产生显著影响。③中国制造业投入服务化和产出服务化水平均较低,但产出服务化水平高于投入服务化,且制造业国外产出服务化水平高于国内产出服务化水平,说明基于“产出服务化”视角,中国制造业属于“外向型”制造业。Based on the structural effects and from the perspective of forward linkages,this paper conducts research on the matching and docking of GAD,WIOD,SEA,UN Comtrade,China Statistical Yearbook,China Industry Economy Statistical Yearbook,China Statistical Yearbook on Science and Technology,etc.from the product and industry level,focusing on the impact of trade barriers represented by anti-dumping on the domestic output servitization of China's manufacturing and the foreign output servitization of China's manufacturing.The results of the research imply the followings.①From the overall“aggregation effect”level,trade barriers can“force”the increase in the output servitization level of China's manufacturing to a certain extent,but this increase has a structural effect,that is,trade barriers can promote the domestic output servitization level of the manufacturing and inhibit the foreign output servitization level of the manufacturing.②Enhancing the input servitization level of manufacturing in the context of trade frictions will help increase the output servitization level of manufacturing.At the same time,foreign direct investment,industry scale,management efficiency and openness will also have a significant impact on the output servitization level of manufacturing.③The input servitization level and output servitization level of China's manufacturing are both low,but the output servitization level is higher than the input servitization level,and the foreign output servitization level of manufacturing is higher than the domestic output servitization level of manufacturing.It indicates that China's manufacturing industry belongs to“export-oriented”manufacturing industry from the perspective of“output servitization”.

关 键 词：贸易壁垒 反倾销 制造业产出服务化 结构效应 

分 类 号：F425[经济管理—产业经济] F426