基于WGAN风光资源场景模拟和时序生产模拟的新能源电源容量配置  

Capacity allocation of new energy source based on wind and solar resource scenario simulation using WGAN and sequential production simulation

作　　者：马燕峰[1] 傅钰 赵书强[1] 杨小款 王子建[1] 董凌 曾凡斐[1] MA Yanfeng;FU Yu;ZHAO Shuqiang;YANG Xiaokuan;WANG Zijian;DONG Ling;ZENG Fanfei(State Key Laboratory of Alternate Electrical Power System with Renewable Energy Sources,North China Electric Power University,Baoding 071003,China;State Grid Qinghai Electric Power Company,Xining 810000,China)

机构地区：[1]华北电力大学新能源电力系统国家重点实验室,河北保定071003 [2]国网青海省电力公司,青海西宁810000

出　　处：《电力自动化设备》2020年第11期77-84,共8页Electric Power Automation Equipment

基　　金：国家重点研发计划项目(2017YFB0902200);国家电网公司科技项目(5228001700CW)。

摘　　要：针对多能源电力系统中新能源电源容量配置问题,考虑到风光资源的不确定性,提出一种基于Wasserstein生成对抗网络(WGAN)的风光资源场景模拟和改进时序生产模拟的新能源电源容量配置模型。采用WGAN模拟大量风光资源场景,用K-medoids聚类削减得到若干典型场景,并提出综合评价指标对典型场景进行评估分析;综合考虑多能源电力系统的运行特性,基于改进时序生产模拟的线性规划模型,构建以经济性最优为目标的新能源规划模型。某地区实际电网算例仿真结果验证了所提模型的有效性以及对提高新能源消纳的显著效果,给出了新能源电源容量配置方案。Aiming at the capacity allocation problem of new energy source in multi-energy power system,a capacity allocation model of new energy source based on the wind and solar resource scenario simulation using WGAN(Wasserstein Generative Adversarial Network)and the improved sequential production simulation is proposed considering the uncertainty of wind and solar resources.WGAN is used to simulate a large number of wind and solar resource scenarios,several typical scenarios are obtained through clustering reduction by K-medoids,and comprehensive evaluation indicators are proposed to evaluate and analyze the typical scenarios.A new energy planning model aiming at optimal economy is built based on the improved linear programming model of sequential production simulation,which comprehensively considers the operation characteristics of multi-energy power system.The case simulative results of an actual power grid in an area verify the effectiveness of the proposed model and the significant effect on improving consumption of new energy,and the capacity allocation scheme of new energy source is given.

关 键 词：多能源电力系统 WGAN 综合评价指标 时序生产模拟 消纳 

分 类 号：TM73[电气工程—电力系统及自动化]