新时代我国货物运输需求发展趋势  

China’s Freight Demand Trend in the Coming 30 Years

作　　者：李茜[1] LI Qian(Institute of Comprehensive Transportation,Nationnal Development and Reform Commission,Beijing 100037,China)

机构地区：[1]国家发展和改革委员会综合运输研究所,北京100037

出　　处：《综合运输》2020年第10期101-105,共5页China Transportation Review

摘　　要：在分析我国经济社会、产业发展、人口变化、技术进步等因素对交通需求产生的影响的基础上,分析、预测未来30年我国货物运输需求发展趋势,提出新时代我国交通运输需求将在总量、结构、质量方面发生根本性、历史性变化,要求交通供给由规模速度型向质量效率型转变。The purpose of this paper is to analyze the trend of cargo transportation demand for the next 30 years, based on analyzing economic and social, population, technique improvement and other factors have on cargo transportation demand. This paper puts forward that China’s cargo transportation demand will undergo fundamental and historic changes in terms of total volume, structure and quality in the new era, which requires the transportation supply focus on the quality and efficiency instead of scale and speed.

关 键 词：中国 货物运输需求 趋势分析 

分 类 号：F542[经济管理—产业经济]