中国食品加工业出口贸易结构研究  

A Study of Export Trade Structure of China′s Food Processing Industry

作　　者：林海[1] 王腾坤 LIN Hai;WANG Teng-kun(School of Economics and Management, China Agricultural University,Beijing 100083,China)

机构地区：[1]中国农业大学经济管理学院,北京100083

出　　处：《商业研究》2020年第9期60-70,共11页Commercial Research

摘　　要：中国食品加工业出口贸易结构的变化关系到农业对外贸易平衡与农业产业结构优化和升级。现状分析表明,中国食品加工业出口市场占有率相对稳定,三元边际分析结果显示广延边际和价格指数边际趋于增加趋势,数量指数边际贡献度在下降,中国食品加工业以量取胜行为不明显。集约边际从受数量驱动转变到由价格驱动,细分产业由前期的广延边际和集约边际共同影响为主,变为中期的数量指数驱动为主,后期价格指数贡献程度凸显。市场分割和地理距离对肉鱼蔬油产业出口负向影响显著;地理距离对其他食品制造产业和饮品产业出口正向影响显著,出口目的地贸易自由度对饮品产业负向影响显著;相对贸易障碍对细分产业市场占有率的影响存在交互效应。广延边际、价格指数和数量指数存在相互影响。并且他们影响方向和程度视细分产业而定,类似特点同时表现在贸易障碍与相对贸易障碍对三者的影响。食品加工业出口贸易结构这一变化顺应了中国经济转型升级的需求。The change of export trade structure of China′s food processing industry is related to the balance of agricultural foreign trade and the optimization and upgrading of agricultural industrial structure.The current situation analysis shows that the export market share of China′s food processing industry is relatively stable.The results of the ternary marginal analysis show that the extensive margin and the price index margin tend to increase,and the marginal contribution of the quantitative index is declining.The behavior of China′s food processing industry to win by quantity is not obvious.From quantity driven to price driven,the segmentation industry changed from extensive margin and intensive margin in the early stage to quantitative index in the medium term,and the contribution of price index was prominent in the later stage.Market segmentation and geographical distance have a significantly negative impact on the export of meat,fish,vegetable and oil industry;geographical distance has a significantly positive impact on the export of other food manufacturing industries and beverage industries;the degree of trade freedom of export destination has a significantly negative impact on the beverage industry;the impact of relative trade barriers on the market share of segmented industries has an interactive effect.Extensive margin,price index and quantity index influence each other.And the direction and degree of their influence depends on the subdivided industries,and the similar characteristics are shown in the impact of trade barriers and relative trade barriers on them.The change of export trade structure of food processing industry conforms to the needs of China′s economic transformation and upgrading.

关 键 词：贸易障碍 市场分割 三元边际 企业异质性 

分 类 号：F746.12[经济管理—国际贸易]