对外开放、贸易竞争与经济增长——基于中国与中亚五国跨国面板数据的实证分析  

Opening up,trade competition and economic growth--Empirical analysis based on cross-border panel data between China and five Central Asian countries

作　　者：曹冲 谢文宝[3] 夏咏 CAO Chong;XIE Wen-bao;XIA Yong(School of Economics,Xinjiang University of Finance and Economics,Urumqi,Xinjiang,830012;School of Economics and Trade,Xinjiang Agricultural University,Urumqi,Xinjiang,8300052;School of Economics and Management,Baoji University of Arts and Sciences,Baoji,Shaanxi,721013)

机构地区：[1]新疆财经大学经济学院,新疆乌鲁木齐830012 [2]新疆农业大学经济与贸易学院,新疆乌鲁木齐830052 [3]宝鸡文理学院经济管理学院,陕西宝鸡721013

出　　处：《价格月刊》2020年第11期80-88,共9页

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目“连片特困地区少数民族农户贫困代际传递程度及传递机制研究——以新疆为例”(编号:71763027);新疆软科学项目“丝绸之路经济带背景下新疆对中亚地区文化贸易对策研究”(编号:201542110)。

摘　　要：采用1992—2018年中国与中亚五国跨国面板数据,运用一步SYS-GMM方法考察了对外开放、贸易竞争与经济增长之间的关系。研究发现,中国与中亚五国多数是中等贸易开放度国家和弱贸易竞争优势以上国家,尤其是中国始终处于中等贸易开放度和弱贸易竞争优势;对外开放和贸易竞争对中国与中亚五国的经济增长呈显著正向效应,且对外开放对经济增长的促进作用远高于贸易竞争对经济增长的促进作用;对外开放与贸易竞争的交叉项即开竞效应对中国与中亚五国的经济增长呈显著正向效应,对外开放通过影响贸易竞争,刺激创新,提高全社会生产率,间接地促进经济增长。要坚持新发展理念,深化贸易体制改革;优化贸易结构,加快创新驱动,培育贸易竞争新优势;促进国际产能合作,增添贸易发展动能,推动贸易可持续发展。Based on the cross-border panel data of China and five Central Asian countries from 1992 to 2018,this paper uses the one-step SYS-GMM method to investigate the relationship among opening-up,trade competition and economic growth.The results show that China and most of five Central Asian countries are countries with medium trade openness and weak trade competitive advantage,especially China is always at the middle degree of trade openness and weak trade competitive advantage,that opening up and trade competition have a significant positive effect on the economic growth of China and the five Central Asian countries,that the promotion effect of opening to the outside world on economic growth is much higher than that of trade competition,that the cross-term effect of opening up and trade competition,namely the open competition effect,has a significant positive effect on the economic growth of China and the five Central Asian countries,and that opening up indirectly promotes economic growth by influencing trade competition,stimulating innovation,and increasing the productivity of the whole society.We must adhere to the new development concept,deepen the reform of the trade system;optimize the trade structure,accelerate innovation,cultivate new advantages in trade competition,promote international production capacity cooperation,increase the momentum of trade development,and promote sustainable trade development.

关 键 词：中国与中亚五国 对外开放 贸易竞争 经济增长 动态面板 

分 类 号：F752[经济管理—国际贸易]