全球价值链下利益分配的公平性影响增长绩效吗?  

Why Is"Win-Win"Important under the Conditions of Global Linkage Growth?

作　　者：张二震[1] 张雨[2] 戴翔[3] Zhang Erzhen;Zhang Yu;Dai Xiang

机构地区：[1]南京大学长三角经济社会发展研究中心 [2]南京大学经济学院,南京210093 [3]南京审计大学,南京211815

出　　处：《广东社会科学》2020年第6期30-38,I0002,共10页Social Sciences in Guangdong

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目“贸易摩擦对全球产业链转移的影响及对策研究”(项目号20BJY002)的阶段性成果。

摘　　要：在全球价值链分工条件下,基于对全球增长具有联动特征的深刻认知和充分把握,习近平总书记提出的“全球增长共赢链”之所以特别强调“共赢”重要性,是因为“共赢”已不仅仅局限于传统国际分工条件下的“道义”需求层面,更表现为经济全球化持续健康发展的一种内生需求,是各国在联动增长条件下实现更好增长绩效的必然要求。以此理论逻辑为先导,本文在构造能够反映利益分配失衡程度的贸易条件偏离度指数基础上,利用跨国面板数据进行了计量分析,力图在实证层面回答更加公平的利益分配是决定增长的因素之一。计量检验结果显示,利益分配的失衡无论是正向偏离还是负向偏离,均对经济增长绩效产生显著的负面影响。上述结论在考虑了内生性问题以及采用各种替代指标进行的稳健性检验中依然成立,从而前述理论命题得到了较好的逻辑一致性计量检验。研究不仅有助于进一步深化认识全球联动增长条件下“共赢”之重要性,而且对于推动经济全球化向“更加开放、包容、普惠、平衡、共赢”方向发展的必要性,也提供了科学依据。Under the conditions of global value chain division,based on the deep and full understanding of the linkage characteristics of global growth, "Win-win global growth"emphasizes the importance of "winwin"because it is not only limited to the "moral"demand level under the traditional international division of labor,but also an endogenous demand for the sustained and healthy development of economic globalization. It is the achievement of better growth performance of countries under the conditions of linkage growth. Based on this theoretical logic,this paper analyzes the trade condition deviation index based on the degree of imbalance of interest distribution,and uses the cross-country data to conduct quantitative analysis,in order to suggest that equitable benefit distribution contributes to growth. The results of the measurement test show that the imbalance of interest distribution,whether it is positive or negative,has a significant negative impact on economic growth performance. The above conclusions are still established in considering the endogeneity problem and the robustness test using various surrogate indicators,so that the above theoretical propositions have passed the logical consistency measurement test. The findings of this paper not only help further deepen the importance of "win-win"under the conditions of global linkage growth,but also provides a scientific basis for the need to promote economic globalization in the direction of "more openness,tolerance,inclusiveness,balance,and win-win."

关 键 词：共赢 联动增长 全球价值链 

分 类 号：F425[经济管理—产业经济]