印度在克什米尔问题上的对巴政策演变——基于强制外交与威慑理论的考察  

India’s Policy Evolution towards Pakistan on the Issue of Kashmir—Based on the Theory of Coercive Diplomacy and Deterrence

作　　者：韩召颖[1] 任炳卿 HAN Zhao-ying;REN Bing-qing(Zhou Enlai School of Government,Nankai University,Tianjin 300350,China)

机构地区：[1]南开大学周恩来政府管理学院,天津300350

出　　处：《安徽师范大学学报（社会科学版）》2020年第6期112-119,共8页Journal of Anhui Normal University(Hum.&Soc.Sci.)

摘　　要：克什米尔地区是当今世界上最具争议的地区之一,从20世纪中叶以来,克什米尔问题成为印度和巴基斯坦两国关系的晴雨表。克什米尔问题也逐渐从领土争端发展成为了集印巴两国外交冲突于一体的集中爆发点,也使得印巴两国在克什米尔问题上的互动愈发复杂。巴基斯坦在克什米尔问题上威慑政策的失败,决定了印度对巴采取强制外交政策与威慑政策的转化模式,从而形成了印巴在克什米尔地区的互动关系,造成当前克什米尔地区的印巴冲突现状。The Kashmir region is one of the most controversial regions in the world today.The Kashmir issue has become a barometer of relations between India and Pakistan since the middle of the 20th century.The concentrated outbreak of the conflict between India and Pakistan has made the interactive model between India and Pakistan on the Kashmir issue more complicated.Pakistan’s failure on the deterrence policy to India has determined India’s foreign policy transformation between compulsory foreign policy and deterrence policy to Pakistan,thus facilitating the interactive relationship between India and Pakistan on Kashmir issue and the current status quo of the conflict between India and Pakistan on Kashmir issue.

关 键 词：印巴 克什米尔 互动关系 威慑理论 强制外交 

分 类 号：D815[政治法律—国际关系]