基于ARIMA模型的制动摩擦衬片磨损预测  

Wear Prediction of Brake Pad Based on ARIMA Model

作　　者：何晰浩 李金龙 郝占武 隋清海 He Xihao;Li Jinlong;Hao Zhanwu;Sui Qinghai(General Research and Development Institute,China FAW Corporation Limited,Changchun 130013;State Key Laboratory of Comprehensive Technology on Automobile Vibration and Noise&Safety Control,Changchun 130013)

机构地区：[1]中国第一汽车股份有限公司研发总院,长春130013 [2]汽车振动噪声与安全控制综合技术国家重点实验室,长春130013

出　　处：《汽车文摘》2020年第12期39-42,共4页Automotive Digest

摘　　要：为实现对制动摩擦衬片磨损趋势的预测,建立基于自回归求积移动平均(ARIMA)的摩擦衬片磨损的预测模型。分析结果表明,ARIMA模型的计算和预测结果和实际观测值非常接近,预测精度高,具有一定的工程价值,有助于从业者根据摩擦衬片的磨损数据预测摩擦衬片的磨损寿命。In order to predict the wear trend of brake pads,a prediction model based on ARIMA is established.The analysis results show that the ARIMA model is very close to the actual observed value in calculation and prediction.It has the characteristics of high predictive accuracy and engineering value.It is helpful for practitioners to predict the wear life of friction linings according to the wear data of friction pads.

关 键 词：摩擦衬片 ARIMA 磨损制动 

分 类 号：U465.6[一般工业技术—材料科学与工程]