金融错配影响技术创新的SD分析及其模拟仿真  

Analysis and simulation of financial mismatch affecting technological innovation based on SD model

作　　者：许斌 刘斌斌 XU Bin;LIU Binbin(School of Science,Nanchang University,Nanchang 330031,China;School of financial and monetary,jiangxi normal university,Nanchang 330022,China)

机构地区：[1]南昌大学理学院,江西南昌330031 [2]江西师范大学财政金融学院,江西南昌330022

出　　处：《南昌大学学报（理科版）》2020年第4期402-408,共7页Journal of Nanchang University(Natural Science)

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(17BJY035)。

摘　　要：为从定量上了解金融资源错配对我国技术创新水平影响的变化规律,通过Granger因果分析理论确定了影响金融错配和技术创新水平的主要因素及其因果关系,构建了金融错配影响技术创新的系统动力学模型并进行模拟仿真。结果显示:金融错配对技术创新具有抑制作用,金融错配程度每增加10%,我国技术创新水平下降7.1%;政府干预加大了金融错配对技术创新的抑制作用,政府干预力度增大10%可抑制技术创新水平8.25%的上升幅度。In order to quantitatively understand the changing law of the influence of financial resource mismatch on China's technological innovation level,the main factors affecting financial mismatch and technological innovation level and their causal relationship are determined by Granger causality analysis theory,and a system dynamics model of financial mismatch affecting technological innovation is constructed and simulated.The results show that financial mismatch can inhibit technological innovation,and the level of technological innovation in China decreases by 7.1%for every 10%increase in financial mismatch;Government intervention has increased the restraining effect of financial mismatch on technological innovation,and a 10%increase in government intervention can restrain the rise of technological innovation level by 8.25%.

关 键 词：金融资源错配 技术创新 系统动力学(SD) 

分 类 号：F832.4[经济管理—金融学]