东地中海天然气管道建设前景及影响  

Prospects and impacts of Eastern Mediterranean gas pipeline

作　　者：孙黎 徐金忠 余功铭[1] 张燕云 宋伟涛 SUN Li;XU Jinzhong;YU Gongming;ZHANG Yanyun;SONG Weitao(CNPC Economics and Technology Research Institute;China National Oil and Gas Exploration and Development Company;Graduate School of Chinese Academy of Social Sciences)

机构地区：[1]中国石油集团经济技术研究院 [2]中国石油国际勘探开发有限公司 [3]中国社会科学院研究生院

出　　处：《国际石油经济》2020年第11期59-68,共10页International Petroleum Economics

摘　　要：2020年,在欧盟的支持下,以色列、塞浦路斯和希腊签署东地中海天然气管道建设协议。东地中海天然气资源丰富,探明程度低,开发潜力大,距欧洲消费市场近,将成为欧洲新的天然气来源。该地区地缘政治与安全形势复杂,管道的建设面临诸多风险:域内国家以色列、黎巴嫩、塞浦路斯、土耳其等国的领海边界争端,黎巴嫩、叙利亚和埃及境内的恐怖袭击、武装冲突等,这些因素给管道建设与运营增添了很大的不确定性。在土耳其和俄罗斯阻碍该管道建设的情况下,欧盟与美国是建设该管道的最大推手。管道顺利建成不仅有助于推进本地区天然气的资源化利用,为沿线国家带来经济效益,还将在一定程度上对欧洲天然气供应格局和中东地缘政治格局产生影响。In 2020,Israel,Cyprus and Greece signed the agreement to construct Eastern Mediterranean gas pipeline under the support of the European Union.The Eastern Mediterranean region,rich in natural gas resources,has a low degree of exploration and great development potential.It is adjacent to European consumption market,and thus will provide a new source of natural gas supply for Europe.However,due to complex geopolitical and security situation in the East Mediterranean region,pipeline construction faces such multiple risks as border disputes between Israel,Lebanon,Cyprus,and Turkey,terrorist attacks,and armed conflicts in Lebanon,Syria,and Egypt,which brings uncertainties for the pipeline construction and operation.The EU and U.S.are both the supporter of the pipeline but Turkey and Russia object to it.It will not only promote the utilization of natural gas and bring economic benefits to the countries along the route,but also impact the natural gas supply pattern of the EU and the Middle East if it can be successfully built.

关 键 词：东地中海天然气管道 中东地缘政治 欧洲 天然气 多元化 

分 类 号：TE973[石油与天然气工程—石油机械设备]