基于不对称博弈的联合火力打击规划效果评估  

Evaluation of Joint Fire Strike Planning Effect Based on Asymmetric Game

作　　者：宋志峰 刘昊 孙奇[2] SONG Zhi-feng;LIU Hao;SUN Qi(National Defense University Joint Operations College, Shijiazhuang 050000;Unit 31696 of PLA, Jinzhou 121000, China)

机构地区：[1]国防大学联合作战学院,河北石家庄050000 [2]中国人民解放军31696部队,辽宁锦州121000

出　　处：《指挥控制与仿真》2020年第6期79-85,共7页Command Control & Simulation

摘　　要：针对不对称态势下的联合火力打击对抗博弈模型进行动态推演和量化评估,突破传统的胜负评判框架,设计能够体现不对称态势下任务规划优劣特征的多元衡量标准,分别从网络体系价值、弹药利用率、目标毁伤程度梳理能够衡量任务规划评估结果的不对称评估指标,实现不对称态势下的任务规划效果评估。并通过制作原生系统和仿真实验验证了效果评估的针对性和有效性,量化分析了不对称态势下敌我双方应采取的最优战场策略,为不对称态势下的联合火力打击战法选择提供了参考建议。In this paper,the dynamic deduction and quantitative evaluation of the game model of joint fire strike and confrontation under asymmetric situation are carried out.Breaking through the traditional victory and defeat evaluation framework,this paper designs multiple measurement standards that can reflect the advantages and disadvantages of mission planning under asymmetric situation.It sorts out the asymmetric evaluation indexes that can measure the evaluation results of mission planning from the network system value,ammunition utilization rate and target damage degree respectively,so as to realize the evaluation of mission planning effect under asymmetric situation.Through making the original system and simulation experiment,the pertinence and effectiveness of the effect evaluation are verified,and the optimal battlefield strategy that both sides should adopt under asymmetric situation is quantitatively analyzed,which provides reference suggestions for the selection of joint fire strike tactics under asymmetric situation.

关 键 词：联合火力打击 不对称态势 对抗博弈 任务规划 效果评估 

分 类 号：E911[军事]