典型农区县域工业化进程评价及时空演进——以河南省为例  

Evaluation of County Industrialization Process and Analysis of Spatial and Temporal Evolution in Typical Agricultural Areas:A Case Study of Henan Province

作　　者：史焱文 李小建 孟德友[1] SHI Yanwen;LI Xiaojian;MENG Deyou(Collaborative Innovation Center of Urban-Rural Coordination/Academician Workstation for Urban-Rural Spatial Data Mining,Henan University of Economics and Law,Zhengzhou 450046,Henan,China;Center of Yellow River Civilization and Sustainable Development,Henan University,Kaifeng 475004,Henan,China)

机构地区：[1]河南财经政法大学城乡协调发展河南省协同创新中心/河南省城乡空间数据挖掘院士工作站,中国河南郑州450046 [2]河南大学黄河文明与可持续发展研究中心,中国河南开封475004

出　　处：《经济地理》2020年第10期118-126,153,共10页Economic Geography

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(41701197、41971223、41871159);教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目(16JJD770021);教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目(17YJC790125);河南省哲学社会科学规划项目(2018CJJ070);河南省教育厅人文社会科学研究一般项目(2018-ZZJH-011);华茂金融研究院2019年度研究课题(HYK-2019007)。

摘　　要：文章采用统计数据,在经典工业化理论的基础上构建工业化进程综合指标体系,对河南省1990、1995、2004、2015年县域工业化进程展开评价,并利用GIS空间分析和地理探测器揭示县域工业化进程时空演进特征及其空间分异形成机理。研究表明:①自1990年以来河南省县域工业化进程整体经历了由工业化前期向工业化中后期的发展,在空间格局上经历了由工业化前期与初期的东西区域"二元"分割,到多阶段"空间裂变",再到工业化中期与后期的"中心—外围"空间分异过程;②处于各工业化阶段的县域数量由典型的"金字塔"结构向"纺锤型"结构优化演进;③1990—2015年河南省县域工业化进程演进速度普遍呈现"低速—停滞—高速"发展过程;④由地理探测器探测揭示出人均GDP、制造业增加值占比、城镇化率、第一产业就业比的变化对河南省县域工业化进程影响显著,其空间分异的形成是各因素直接效应、间接效应以及交互作用的耦合反映。Based on the classical theory of industrialization,this paper uses statistical data to construct a comprehensive index system of industrialization process,and evaluates the county industrialization process of Henan Province in 1990,1995,2004 and 2015.The spatial analysis of GIS and geographic detector are used to reveal the spatial and temporal evolution characteristics of county industrialization process and the formation mechanism of spatial differences.Research shows that:1)Since 1990,the process of county industrialization in Henan Province had gone through the whole process from the early stage of industrialization to the middle and late stage of industrialization.The industrialization stage of each county had experienced a spatial differentiation process from regional"dual"division to multi-stage"space fission"to"central-periphery"in spatial pattern.2)The quantitative relationship of counties in various industrialization stages has evolved from a typical pyramid structure to a spindle structure.3)From 1990 to 2015,the evolution rate of industrialization in the county of Henan Province generally shows a"low speed-stagnation-high speed"industrialization development process.4)The detection made by Geo-detector reveals that the change in per capita GDP,manufacturing value-added,urbanization rate,and employment ratio of the primary industry in 1990-2015 has a significant impact on the industrialization process of counties in Henan Province.The spatial difference in the process of county industrialization is coupling reflection of the spatial distribution characteristics of each indicator.

关 键 词：工业化进程 时空演进 地理探测器 典型农区 县域 河南省 

分 类 号：F427[经济管理—产业经济]