公共资产配置与预算管理的演化博弈分析  

Analysis on the efficient allocation of public assets and budget management based on evolutionary game theory

作　　者：严培胜 王先甲[2,3] 张青[4] YAN Peisheng;WANG Xianjia;ZHANG Qing(School of Information Management and Statistics,Hubei University of Economics,Wuhan 430205,China;School of Economics and Management,Wuhan University,Wuhan 430072,China;Institute of Systems Engineering,Wuhan University,Wuhan 430072,China;School of Finance and Public Administration,Hubei University of Economics,Wuhan 430205,China)

机构地区：[1]湖北经济学院信息管理与统计学院,武汉430205 [2]武汉大学经济与管理学院,武汉430072 [3]武汉大学系统工程研究所,武汉430072 [4]湖北经济学院财政与公共管理学院,武汉430205

出　　处：《系统工程理论与实践》2020年第11期2872-2884,共13页Systems Engineering-Theory & Practice

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(71871171);国家社会科学基金(18BJY064)。

摘　　要：在公共资产配置与预算管理过程中,由于财政部门和预算单位之间存在信息不对称,导致公共资产配置效率和使用效益低下.本文运用演化博弈的理论与方法分析了公共资产配置与预算管理的博弈演化过程,研究了预算管理过程中的声誉激励效应和监督惩罚效应,给出了不同类型预算单位与财政部门之间策略选择的互动机制,重点对静态惩罚机制和动态惩罚机制下博弈均衡进行了比较.研究表明:声誉对高成本的预算单位具有激励作用,监督对低成本的预算单位具有惩罚作用,动态惩罚机制比静态惩罚机制的监督效果更好,监督概率和监督惩罚量越大监督效果越好.The asymmetry information between financial sector and budget units can easily lead to inefficient allocation and inefficient utility during the process of public asset allocation and budget management.We analyze the evolution process of asset allocation and budget management and study the incentive effect of reputation and the constraint effect of supervision by using evolutionary game theory and method.We analyze the interaction mechanism between the financial sectors’strategy and the budget units’strategy,and evolutionary equilibriums of financial sector and budget units are compared under static punishment mechanism and dynamic punishment mechanism.Our research finds that the incentive effects of reputation is effective for the high cost of budget unit,and the constraint effect of supervision is effective for low cost budget unit.Dynamic punishment mechanism is better than static punishment mechanism,and the more the amount of punishment,the greater the probability supervision,the better the supervision effect.

关 键 词：公共资产 部门预算 演化博弈 

分 类 号：C931.1[经济管理—管理学] F224.32