海洋经济与生态环境协同发展水平测度  

Measurement of Coordinated Development Level of Marine Economy and Ecological Environment

作　　者：刘波[1,2] 龙如银[1] 朱传耿[3] 孙小祥 Liu Bo;Long Ruyin;Zhu Chuangeng;Sun Xiaoxiang

机构地区：[1]中国矿业大学经济管理学院,江苏徐州221116 [2]盐城师范学院江苏沿海发展研究院,江苏盐城224051 [3]南京体育学院城市与区域发展研究中心,南京210014

出　　处：《经济问题探索》2020年第12期55-65,共11页Inquiry Into Economic Issues

基　　金：国家自然基金项目“面向‘一带一路’战略的淮海经济区空间组织响应及优化研究”(41671122),主持人:朱传耿;国家自然科学基金青年项目“盐城滨海湿地资源利用情景模拟与开发适宜边界研究”(41601594),主持人:孙小祥;江苏省社科基金项目“江苏港口群‘聚合效应’与长三角区域经济发展‘协同效应’双效联动研究”(20EYB010),主持人:刘波。

摘　　要：海洋生态资源是自然资源的重要组成部分,是沿海地区经济生产的投入要素之一。海洋经济与海洋生态环境是一个具有高度复杂性、多层次性并具有耦合特征的开放系统。在借鉴两大系统耦合协调关系研究成果的基础上,构建海洋经济系统和海洋生态资源系统评价指标体系,利用线性加权模型测度2000-2018年江苏省海洋经济和海洋生态资源两大系统综合发展水平,并运用耦合度模型、耦合协调度模型及核密度估算模型分析海洋经济系统与海洋生态资源系统耦合协调度的变化特征及演变过程。研究结果表明:2000-2018年江苏省海洋经济系统与海洋生态环境系统耦合度与耦合协调度两者变化趋势基本趋同,大致呈现同步稳定上升态势;两大系统耦合协调度总体上从轻度失调向中级协调演变,但距离良好协调和优质协调还有较大的提升空间;两大系统耦合度高的年份相对较多,耦合协调度虽然没有达到两极分化的状态,但差异很大,低水平耦合协调度所占年份较多。Marine ecological resources are an important part of natural resources and one of the input factors of economic production in coastal areas. Marine economy and marine ecological environment is an open system with high complexity,multi-level and coupling characteristics. Based on the research results of the coupling and coordination relationship between the two systems,the evaluation index system of marine economic system and marine ecological resources system is constructed,and the linear weighted model is used to measure 2000-2018. In this paper,the coupling degree model,coupling coordination degree model and nuclear density estimation model are used to analyze the change characteristics and evolution process of coupling coordination degree between marine economic system and marine ecological resources system. The results show that:( 1) from 2000 to 2018,the coupling degree and coupling coordination degree of marine economic system and marine ecological environment system in Jiangsu Province basically tend to be the same,showing a synchronous and stable upward trend;( 2) the coupling coordination degree of the two systems generally evolves from mild imbalance to intermediate coordination,but there is still much room for improvement from good coordination and high-quality coordination;and( 3) the two systems are basically in the same trend The years with high coupling degree are relatively more. Although the coupling coordination degree does not reach the state of polarization,the difference is great,and the years with low level coupling coordination degree account for more.

关 键 词：海洋生态资源 海洋经济 耦合协调度 核密度估算 江苏省 

分 类 号：H127[语言文字—汉语]