“一带一路”倡议对其沿线欠发达地区经济发展的促进效应评估--基于DID双重差分法  

Assessment of the Promotion Effect of the "Belt and Road" Initiative on the Economic Development of Underdeveloped Areas along the Route: Based on the DID Double Difference Method

作　　者：孟一帆 伍琳 MENG Yi-fan;WU Lin(Shanghai University of International Business and Economics,Shanghai 201620,China)

机构地区：[1]上海对外经贸大学,上海201620

出　　处：《价值工程》2020年第33期241-242,共2页Value Engineering

摘　　要：“一带一路”倡议是一项国家级顶层合作倡议,自该倡议提出以来对其沿线地区的经济发展起到了巨大的影响。本研究基于2008-2018年“一带一路”倡议沿线欠发达地区与全国其他欠发达地区的面板数据,运用双重差分法模型分析了“一带一路”倡议对其沿线欠发达地区经济增长的促进效应。研究结果表明,“一带一路”倡议显著促进了其沿线欠发达地区的地区生产总值的增长,肯定了“一带一路”倡议对其沿线欠发达地区经济发展的促进效应。The"Belt and Road"initiative is a national-level top-level cooperation initiative.Since the initiative was put forward,it has exerted a huge influence on the economic development of the areas along the route.Based on the panel data of underdeveloped regions along the“Belt and Road”initiative and other underdeveloped regions in the country from 2008 to 2018,this study uses the double difference method to analyze the promotion effect of the"Belt and Road"initiative on the economic growth of the underdeveloped regions along the route.The research results show that the"Belt and Road"initiative has significantly promoted the growth of the regional GDP of the underdeveloped areas along its route,and affirmed the promotion effect of the"Belt and Road"initiative on the economic development of the underdeveloped areas along the route.

关 键 词：“一带一路”倡议 双重差分法 欠发达地区 

分 类 号：F125[经济管理—世界经济]