中国对“一带一路”沿线国家直接投资的出口贸易效应  

The Export Trade Effect of China’s Direct Investment in the Belt and Road Countries

作　　者：滕堂伟[1] 史佳宁 胡森林[1] TENG Tang-wei;SHI Jia-ning;HU Sen-lin(Institute of Spatial Planning and Regional Economy/Chinese Modern City Research Center,East China Normal University,Shanghai 200062,China)

机构地区：[1]华东师范大学国土开发与区域经济研究所/中国现代城市研究中心,上海200062

出　　处：《兰州大学学报（社会科学版）》2020年第6期53-60,共8页Journal of Lanzhou University（Social Sciences）

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目“‘一带一路’区域创新网络建设路径研究”(19ZDA087)。

摘　　要：推动国家间的贸易与投资是共建“一带一路”的重要内容。选取2004年至2018年56个“一带一路”沿线国家作为样本,研究中国对外直接投资(OFDI)的出口贸易效应及影响机制。研究发现:中国对“一带一路”沿线国家的直接投资和出口贸易具有较大空间关联性,两者均集中于东南亚、西亚和东欧,总体呈现“东高西低,南高北低”的空间格局,并在“一带一路”倡议下呈现出向西迈进的趋势;中国对“一带一路”沿线国家的直接投资具有显著的出口贸易促进效应,两者总体上具有互补协同关系;不同动机下OFDI的出口贸易效应存在异质性,资源和效率寻求型OFDI对出口的促进作用最强,但市场寻求型OFDI对出口贸易具有调节和抑制作用,而创新寻求型OFDI的出口效应并不明显。An important part of joint construction of the Belt and Road(B&R)initiative is to promote the trade and investment among the Belt and Road countries.This paper chooses the 56 B&R countries from 2004 to 2018 as samples to study the export trade effect and influencing mechanism of China’s outward foreign direct investment(OFDI).The findings show that China’s direct investment and export trade in the B&R countries has a greater spacial inter-connectivity.Both of them focus on Southeast Asia,West Asia and East Europe,presenting an overall spacial pattern of“large amount of investment and export in the east and south,small in the west and north”and a trend of investing more in the west under the B&R initiative.China’s direct investment in these countries has an apparent effect of promoting the export trade and they are generally complementary and synergic.The OFDI with different purposes has various export trade effects:resource and efficiency-targeted OFDI has the greatest effect of promoting export;market-targeted OFDI plays a role of regulating and inhibiting the export trade,while the export effect of innovation-targeted OFDI is not apparent.

关 键 词：对外直接投资 出口贸易 引力模型 中介效应 “一带一路” 

分 类 号：F061.5[经济管理—政治经济学]