长三角城市群绿色发展效率评价研究  

Research on Green Development Efficiency Evaluation of the Yangtze River Delta Urban Agglomeration

作　　者：吴洁 张云[1] 韩露露 WU Jie;ZHANG Yun;HAN Lu-lu(School of Finance,Shanghai Lixin University of Accounting and Finance,201209;East China Normal University,200241)

机构地区：[1]上海立信会计金融学院,201209 [2]华东师范大学并购金融研究中心,200241

出　　处：《上海经济研究》2020年第11期46-55,共10页Shanghai Journal of Economics

基　　金：上海市教委长三角区域一体化教育领域新机制试验项目;“服务经济与上海国际金融中心建设”研究基地课题;上海松江统计局课题“长三角G60科创走廊一体化发展成效及统计方法研究”的阶段性成果之一。

摘　　要：提高长三角城市群绿色发展效率对于促进区域经济绿色协调发展、推进长三角一体化更高质量发展具有重要意义。文章构建DEA-Malmquist模型进行长三角41个城市绿色发展效率的静态测算和动态分解分析,在此基础上构建灰色模型(GM)预测长三角城市群未来十五年的绿色发展效率变化趋势,研究发现三省一市绿色发展效率值差异较大,有些城市近年来绿色发展效率处于下降水平;未来绿色发展效率呈现逐年上升的趋势,不同省份之间的差距在逐年缩小。文章提出相关建议:坚持新发展理念,加快形成低碳节能发展模式;借势"双循环"战略,推动生态文明建设;加强技术创新投入,以技术革新促进高质量发展;完善绿色金融体系,以市场助推绿色效率提升。Improving the green development efficiency of the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration is of great significance to promoting the coordinated development of regional economy and the higher quality development of the Yangtze river delta integration.This paper calculates the green development efficiency of 41 cities in Yangtze River Delta based on the DEA-Malmquist model.Then this paper further predicts the change trend of green development efficiency in Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration in the next 15 years based on GM model.The results show that,the efficiency of green development varies greatly among the cities of the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration,and some are even declining in recent years.This paper puts forward to adhere to the new development concept,accelerate the formation of low-carbon energy-saving development model,seize the opportunity of"double cycle"strategy to promote the construction of ecological civilization,strengthen technological innovation investment to promote high-quality development with technological innovation,and perfect green financial system to promote green efficiency by market.

关 键 词：长三角 绿色发展 效率评价 DEA-Malmquist模型 灰色模型 

分 类 号：F061.5[经济管理—政治经济学]