创新驱动下城市产业生态转型升级研究——基于城市空间杜宾模型的实证  

Research on the Transformation and Upgrading of Urban Industrial Ecology Driven by Innovation

作　　者：包明齐[1] 武兴伟 Bao Mingqi;Wu Xingwei(Hetao College,Bayannaoer 015000,Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region,China;Graduate School of Party School of the Central Committee of C.P.C,Beijing 100091,China)

机构地区：[1]河套学院,内蒙古巴彦淖尔015000 [2]中共中央党校研究生院,北京100091

出　　处：《技术经济》2020年第11期60-69,共10页Journal of Technology Economics

基　　金：内蒙古哲学社会科学规划项目“内蒙古融入‘一带一路’和‘中蒙俄经济走廊’建设研究”(2019NDB007)。

摘　　要：在由工业化初期向工业化中后期转变的关键时期,我国的产业增长方式将经历从资源和资本驱动转变为创新驱动的过程。以创新为驱动力,延长产业价值链,实现产业结构的合理化与高度化,已然成为研究的重点。本文基于空间杜宾模型,利用2002—2017年272个城市的面板数据,研究了城市创新驱动与产业转型升级的关系,得出了以下结论:城市产业转型具有正的空间溢出效应,创新驱动能显著提升城市产业转型升级的水平,并且城市的创新驱动水平对周边城市的产业转型升级有明显的促进作用。进一步研究发现城市群的出现能有效加强城市创新驱动对周边城市产业转型升级的促进作用。本文通过替换指标、邻接关系矩阵替换、分组检验等方式进行稳健性检验,实证结果保持稳健。From the early stage of industrialization to the middle and late stage of industrialization,China’s industrial growth mode experiences the transformation from resource and capital driven to innovation⁃driven process.It has become the focus of research to take innovation as the driving force,extend the industrial value chain,and realize the rationalization and upgrading of industrial structure.Using the panel data of 272 cities in 2002—2017,Dubin model is used to study the driving force of urban innovation and industry transformation and upgrading.The results show as follows.The positive spillover effects is found in city industry transformation,innovation⁃driven can significantly enhance the level of city industry transformation and upgrading,and the city’s innovation driven level has an obvious role in promoting surrounding city industrial transformation and upgrading.Further research shows that the emergence of urban agglomeration can effectively strengthen the role of urban innovation driven in promoting the industrial transformation and upgrading of surrounding cities.The robustness test is carried out by means of substitution index,adjacency matrix substitution and grouping test,and the empirical results remain robust.

关 键 词：创新驱动 产业转型 空间效应 城市群 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济]