中国产业结构变迁、能源效率与环境污染——基于能源效率门槛的视角  

Industrial Structure Transition,Energy Efficiency and China's Environmental Pollution:Based on the Perspective of Energy Efficiency Threshold

作　　者：张军 郭希宇 ZHANG Jun;GUO Xiyu(School of Economics and Finance, Chongqing University of Technology, Chongqing 400054, China;Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, Jining Municipal Branch, Jining 272000, China)

机构地区：[1]重庆理工大学经济金融学院,重庆400054 [2]中国工商银行济宁分行,山东济宁272000

出　　处：《南京财经大学学报》2020年第4期45-55,共11页Journal of Nanjing University of Finance and Economics

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目“我国适度普惠型社会福利制度构建的理论基础与路径选择研究”(11BSH066)。

摘　　要：选取中国31省(市、自治区)2005—2017年的经济数据,将全国划分为沿海、沿边以及内陆地区,利用熵值法构建我国环境污染指数,并计算描述产业结构变迁与升级的Moore指数,基于能源效率的视角,建立面板门槛回归模型进行实证分析。研究发现:产业结构变迁与升级对我国环境污染的影响存在基于能源效率水准的双重门槛效应;当能源效率低于第一个门槛值时,产业结构变迁与升级对环境污染的作用不显著;当能源效率跨越第一个门槛而未达到第二个门槛时,产业结构变迁与升级显著遏制了环境污染;当能源效率跨越第二个门槛后,产业结构变迁与升级对我国环境质量的改善能力进一步增强。此外,该经济联系存在一定程度上的基于沿海、沿边以及内陆区域间的异质性。By selecting economic data of China's 31 provinces,municipalities and autonomous regions from 2005 to 2017,and dividing the country into coastal,border and inland areas,the entropy method is used to construct China's environmental pollution index,and the Moore index describing the changes and upgrades of industrial structure is calculated.Then a panel threshold regression model is established for empirical analysis based on the perspective of energy efficiency.The study indicates that impact of industrial structure changes and upgrades on China's environmental pollution has a double threshold effect based on energy efficiency standards.When energy efficiency is lower than the first threshold,effect of industrial structure changes and upgrades on environmental pollution is not significant.Industrial structure changes and upgrades have significantly curbed environmental pollution when energy efficiency crosses the first threshold and does not reach the second threshold.When energy efficiency crosses the second threshold,the ability of industrial structure changes and upgrades to improve China's environmental quality is further enhanced.In addition,the economic relationship has a certain regional heterogeneity based on coastal,border and inland areas.

关 键 词：产业结构变迁与升级 环境污染 能源效率 面板门槛模型 

分 类 号：F224.2[经济管理—国民经济]