舰载导弹测发控设备剩余寿命预测概率方法  

Probability method of residual useful life prediction on test launch and control system based on parameter monitoring results

作　　者：苏晓丹 SU Xiao-dan(Military Representative of Navy Equipment in Beijing,Beijing 100854,China)

机构地区：[1]海军装备部驻北京地区军事代表室,北京100854

出　　处：《舰船科学技术》2020年第21期161-164,共4页Ship Science and Technology

摘　　要：介绍有参数故障的导弹测发控设备剩余寿命概率预测问题,对于任意有限个确定性参数的情况,在假设系统内所有的确定性参数的故障强度相同、恢复强度也相同的条件下,推导出根据参数监测结果预测测发控设备剩余寿命的方法,得出问题的解析解,给出了所得到解的实际使用算例。It presents the problem concerning probability prediction on the residual useful life of the test and launch control equipment for missile which has parameter fault. In the case of any finite number of deterministic parameters, given all deterministic parameters of the system have the same failure intensity and recovery strength, the method of prediction on the residual useful life of test and launch control equipment is derived based on parameter monitoring results, obtaining a solution to this problem. The practical implementation example of the obtained solution is given.

关 键 词：导弹 测发控设备 状态概率 参数故障 剩余寿命 概率预测 

分 类 号：TJ768[兵器科学与技术—武器系统与运用工程]