中国分行业固定资本存量核算研究  

Research on Fixed Capital Stock Accounting of Different Industries in China

作　　者：李晓峰 马诗雨 吕廷杰[1] Li Xiaofeng;Ma Shiyu;Lü Tingjie(School of Economics and Management,Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications,Beijing 100876,China)

机构地区：[1]北京邮电大学经济管理学院,北京100876

出　　处：《统计与决策》2020年第22期48-52,共5页Statistics & Decision

摘　　要：固定资本存量是长期进行固定资产投资的结果,是进行生产能力评估、投资效率测算、TFP估计等经济实证分析的重要指标。准确衡量其规模并进行价值分析,是促进资本合理流动,实现经济结构优化升级的数量依据和必要前提。文章借鉴已有研究成果,结合投入产出表数据,采用新增固定资产作为投资序列,分别对我国1995—2017年的总量、三次产业以及19个细分行业的固定资本存量进行了系统估算。结果表明:采用新增固定资产和加权平均折旧率进行固定资本存量估算是合理和准确的;在我国,生产性资本效率较低,"过度投资"和"投资不足"现象并存,产业结构优化升级迫在眉睫。Fixed capital stock is the result of long-term fixed-asset investment,and it is an important index of economic empirical analysis to evaluate the productivity,measure the investment efficiency and estimate TFP.Measuring its scale accurately and analyzing the value are the quantitative basis and necessary premise for promoting the rational capital flow and realizing the optimization and upgrading of economic structure.Based on the existing research results and combined with the data of input-output table,the paper takes the newly added fixed assets as the investment sequence to systematically estimate China’s total amount from 1995 to 2017,the three industries and the fixed capital stock of 19 subsectors respectively.The results show that it is reasonable and accurate to estimate the fixed capital stock by newly added fixed assets and weighted average depreciation rate,and that the efficiency of productive capital is relatively low in China,the phenomenon of"over-investment"and"under-investment"coexists,and the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure is urgent.

关 键 词：固定资本存量 新增固定资产 投入产出表 

分 类 号：F062.9[经济管理—政治经济学]