新冠肺炎疫情背景下基于投入产出表出口对GDP影响的分析  

Input-output Analysis of Export on GDP under the Background of Covid-19 Epidemic

作　　者：闫玄 Yan Xuan(School of Economics Fujian Normal University,Fuzhou Fujian 350001)

机构地区：[1]福建师范大学经济学院,福建福州350001

出　　处：《对外经贸》2020年第12期6-9,共4页FOREIGN ECONOMIC RELATIONS & TRADE

摘　　要：基于单个经济系统的投入产出数据测算增加值出口,会出现高估的情况。通过WIOD数据测算增加值被高估的程度,并以此作为修正的标准,利用我国2017年投入产出表测算货物与服务增加值出口、出口依存度以及新冠肺炎疫情背景下出口对GDP增长的影响。结果显示:增加值出口被高估的程度并不严重;我国的出口依存度已经相对较低;新冠肺炎疫情下出口对GDP增长的影响有限。由此提出的建议是进一步深入优化国民收入分配格局,扩大内需。Measuring value-added by exports based on input-output data of a single economic system can lead to overestimation.This paper uses WIOD data to calculate the degree of overestimation of value-added,and uses this as a revised standard,by using China's input-output table in 2017 to calculate the value-added exports of goods and services,the export dependence and the impact of export on GDP growth under the background of new coronavirus pneumonia.The results show that the degree of overestimation of value-added exports is not serious,the degree of dependence on exports is relatively low,and the impact of exports on GDP growth is limited under the new pneumonia epidemic situation.The suggestion is to further optimize the distribution pattern of national income.

关 键 词：竞争型投入产出表 非竞争型投入产出表 增加值出口 拉动率 国民收入分配 

分 类 号：F742[经济管理—国际贸易]