中国高铁建设促进了房地产投资空间集聚吗?——基于210个开通高铁地级市空间面板模型分析  

Does China's High-speed Rail Construction Promote Spatial Agglomeration of Real Estate Investment?——An Analysis Based on the Spatial Panel Model of 210 Prefecture-level Cities Opened High-speed Railway

作　　者：张洪 游悠洋[2] 丁江[3] ZHANG Hong;YOU You-yang;DING Jiang(School of Urban and Environment,Yunnan University of Finance and Economics,Kunming 650221,China;International Business School,Yunnan University of Finance and Economics,Kunming 650221,China;College of Construction and Engineering,Yunnan Agricultural University,Kunming 650201,China)

机构地区：[1]云南财经大学城市与环境学院,650221 [2]云南财经大学国际工商学院,650221 [3]云南农业大学建工学院,650201

出　　处：《城市与环境研究》2020年第2期24-37,共14页Urban and Environmental Studies

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目“云南低丘缓坡山地开发生态服务价值变化与生态功能提升模式研究”(批准号71764034)。

摘　　要：随着我国交通基础设施条件改善,高速铁路建设突飞猛进,促进了制造业、生产性服务业的空间集聚。房地产业与制造业等的重要区别是位置固定和产品不可移动,高铁建设也会促使房地产业空间集聚吗?这是作者研究的核心问题。作者运用地级市数据和全国高铁列车班次数据,采用空间计量方法对2007—2017年210个开通高铁地级市进行实证检验,探索高铁建设对房地产投资空间格局的影响。结论显示2007—2017年高铁的建设会带来站点城市房地产开发企业投资的空间集聚。站点城市的住宅(商服)用地占比、人口规模、制造业规模、人均生产总值和对外开放程度均对房地产开发企业投资具有显著影响;人口规模、制造业规模和对外开放程度对城市房地产开发企业投资的影响大于高铁建设,而住宅(商服)用地占比和人均生产总值对房地产开发企业投资的影响小于高铁建设。高铁的建设能够扩展房地产开发企业投资的空间集聚效应,而城市土地利用结构如住宅(商服)用地占比和对外开放程度一定程度上促进了房地产开发企业投资的空间溢出效应。Due to the improvement of transportation infrastructure in recent years,the rapid development of high-speed railway construction,the spatial agglomeration of manufacturing industry and productive services industry has been promoted.The important difference between real estate industry and the manufacturing industry is that the location is fixed and the products cannot be moved.Will the high-speed rail construction also promote spatial agglomeration of the real estate industry?This is the core of this paper.This paper uses the data of prefecture level cities and national high-speed railway trains,uses the method of spatial measurement to test 210 prefecture level cities that opened high-speed railway in the period of 2007-2017,and explores the spatial agglomeration of high-speed railway construction on real estate investment.The conclusion shows that the construction of high-speed rail promoted the spatial agglomeration of real estate investment and development in the cities where the high-speed railway stations are opened.The proportion of residential(commercial service)land,population scale,manufacturing scale,per capita GDP and the degree of opening to the outside world all have significant impact on the investment and development of real estate.The influence of urban scale,manufacturing scale and urban openness on urban real estate investment and development is greater than that of high-speed rail construction,while the influence of the proportion of residential(commercial service)land and per capita GDP of the site city on real estate investment and development is less than that of high-speed rail construction.The construction of high-speed rail can expand the agglomeration effect of real estate investment and development.At the same time,the proportion of residential(commercial service)land promotes the spatial spillover effect of real estate investment and development to certain extent.The growth of urban scale and per capita GDP can strengthen the spatial concentration of real estate investment.The opennes

关 键 词：高铁 房地产 空间集聚 面板模型 

分 类 号：F283[经济管理—国民经济]