美国取消中国香港单独关税区影响的大数据量化模型研究  

A Quantitative Model of the Impact of the US’s Cancellation of Special Treatment in Hong Kong,China

作　　者：崔建高 Cui Jiangao

机构地区：[1]呼和浩特海关统计处

出　　处：《海关与经贸研究》2020年第6期87-106,共20页Journal of Customs and Trade

摘　　要：随着2020年7月14日美国《香港自治法》签署实施,美国正式单方面取消香港特殊贸易地位,势必对中美货物贸易产生较大影响。本文依据GTA全球国际贸易数据,建立量化模型,对中美(包括中国香港地区)的国际货物贸易进行了全景展示,将上述政策对中国香港与美国货物贸易影响进行量化评估。AfterWith the signing and implementation of the US"Hong Kong Autonomy Act"of the United States took effect on July 14,2020,the United States formally unilaterally cancelled Hong Kong’s special trade status,which is bound to have a great impact on SinoUS trade in goods.Based on the GTA global international trade data,this paper establishes a quantitative model to show the trend of the international trade in goods between China and the United States(including Hong Kong,China),and conducts and quantitatively evaluation ones the impact of the above policies on the trade goods between Hong Kong,China and the United States.

关 键 词：单独关税区 转口贸易 关税战 税负成本 

分 类 号：D971.2[政治法律—法学] F752.5[经济管理—国际贸易] DD912.29[经济管理—产业经济]