基于灰色理论的广州地铁3号线客流趋势分析  

Analysis of Passenger Flow Trend of Guangzhou Metro Line 3 Based on Grey Theory

作　　者：汤斯敏 TANG Si-min(Automotive and Traffic Engineering College,Guangzhou College of South China University of Technology,Guangzhou Guangdong 510000 China)

机构地区：[1]华南理工大学广州学院汽车与交通工程学院,广东广州510000

出　　处：《广州航海学院学报》2020年第4期69-72,共4页Journal of Guangzhou Maritime University

摘　　要：根据全国各地铁线路的客流量排名,广州地铁3号线名列前茅.对广州地铁3号线的发展现状进行了简要分析,选用灰色GM(1,1)预测模型对广州地铁3号线未来3年的客流量进行预测,依据预测结果并结合实际情况对广州地铁3号线客流量的发展趋势进行分析,为广州地铁3号线的客运组织优化提供参考.According to the national ranking of subway passenger flow,Guangzhou Metro Line 3 ranks the top.The development status of Guangzhou Metro Line 3 is briefly analyzed.And the grey GM(1,1)prediction model is selected to predict the passenger flow of Guangzhou Metro Line 3 in the next three years.It analyzes the development trend of the passenger flow of Guangzhou Metro Line 3 according to the prediction results and combined with the actual situation,so as to provide reference for the optimization of the passenger transport organization of Guangzhou Metro Line 3.

关 键 词：广州地铁 客流量 GM(1 1)预测模型 发展趋势 

分 类 号：U691.71[交通运输工程—港口、海岸及近海工程]