中国展览业与区域经济协调发展的时空演进研究  

Research on the Space-time Evolution of Coordinated Development of China's Exhibition Industry and Regional Economy

作　　者：丁烨[1] 陶城 王强 Ding Ye;Tao Cheng;Wang Qiang(School of Tourism and Event Management,Shanghai University of International Business and Economics,Shanghai 201620,P.R.China)

机构地区：[1]上海对外经贸大学会展与旅游学院,上海201620

出　　处：《江苏商论》2021年第1期13-20,共8页Jiangsu Commercial Forum

摘　　要：展览业与区域经济发展关系密切,通过构建展览业与区域经济综合评价指标体系,论文以中国的30个省(区市)为研究对象,采用耦合协调模型和空间自相关模型等方法,分析2013—2017年中国各省(区市)展览业发展与区域经济发展的耦合协调关系,并运用Moran’s I指数分析耦合协调度的时空演变进行研究,结果表明:(1)我国大部分地区属于经济超前型,23个省(区市)展览业发展滞后于地区经济发展。(2)全国范围内展览业与区域经济耦合程度较高。(3)我国展览业与区域经济发展耦合协调度在空间上呈现“东高西低”的非均衡分布,时间上呈现总体上升趋势,但这种趋势并不均衡,表现为强者越强,弱者越弱,沿海地区与内陆地区的耦合协调差异较为明显,且随着时间的推移这种耦合协调差距不断扩大。(4)展览业与区域经济发展的耦合协调度存在显著的空间自相关,耦合协调度在空间上呈现集聚态势,但随着时间的推移,集聚趋势逐步减弱,耦合协调从单极发展转为多极发展。The exhibition industry is closely related to regional economic development.This paper takes 30 provinces(autonomous regions and municipalities)in China as research objects,analyzes the coupling and coordination relationship between the development of exhibition industry and regional economic development in China's provinces(regions and cities)from 2013-2017,by constructing the comprehensive evaluation index system of exhibition industry and regional economy,using coupling coordination model and spatial autocorrelation model and Moran's I index to analyze the spatial and temporal evolution of coupling coordination.The research results show that:(1)most of China's regions are economically advanced,and the development of exhibition industry in 23 provinces(regions and cities)lags behind regional economic development;(2)The degree of coupling between the exhibition industry and the regional economy is relatively high nationwide;(3)The coupling degree of cooperation between China's exhibition industry and regional economic development presents a non-equilibrium distribution of“East high and low west”in space,showing an overall upward trend in time,but this trend is not balanced,and the stronger the stronger,The weaker the weaker,the more obvious the coupling and coordination difference between the coastal area and the inland area,and the coupling and coordination gap has been expanding with the passage of time;(4)There is significant spatial autocorrelation in the coupling degree between exhibition industry and regional economic development.Coupling coordination degree presents agglomeration situation in space,but with the passage of time,the agglomeration trend is gradually weakened,and coupling coordination changes from uni-polar development to Multipolar development.

关 键 词：展览业 区域经济 耦合度 耦合协调 空间自相关 

分 类 号：F71[经济管理—产业经济]