陕西省旅游经济运行预警研究  

作　　者：师梦珂 

机构地区：[1]西安财经大学,陕西西安710000

出　　处：《现代营销（下）》2020年第12期160-163,共4页Marketing Management Review

摘　　要：本文将旅游经济、社会发展和生态环境三者综合考虑,构建陕西省旅游经济预警指标体系,以促进旅游经济高质量的可持续发展。文章运用综合模拟法,构建了由旅游经济、社会发展、生态环境三个层次35个指标组成的预警系统,解析旅游经济运行状态,并提出针对性建议。结果表明,陕西省旅游经济预警综合指数处于中警区(2008-2015)和重警区(2016和2017),尤其是社会经济和生态环境2016年开始进入重警区,说明社会发展和生态环境发展阻碍了旅游经济的可持续发展。In this paper,tourism economy,social development and ecological environment are considered comprehensively,and the early warning index system of Shaanxi tourism economy is constructed to promote the sustainable development of tourism economy,By using the comprehensive simulation method,this paper constructs an early warning system composed of 35 indexes from three levels of tourism economy,society and ecology,analyzes the operation status of tourism economy,and puts forward targeted suggestions.The re-sults show that the comprehensive index of tourism economic early warning in Shaanxi Province is in the middle police area(2008-2015)and the heavy police area(2016 and 2017),especially the social economy and ecological environment began to enter the heavy police area in 2016,indicating that the social and economic development and ecological environment development mode hinder the sus-tainable development of tourism economy.

关 键 词：旅游经济预警 陕西省 综合模拟法 熵值法 

分 类 号：F592.7[经济管理—旅游管理]