创新驱动下中国区域高质量发展——基于平衡充分发展水平的门槛分析  

China’s Regional High-quality Development Driven by Innovation:A Threshold Analysis Based on Balanced and Adequate Development Level

作　　者：刘锴[1] 周雅慧 王嵩 张耀光[1] Liu Kai;Zhou Yahui;Wang Song;Zhang Yaoguang(Center for Studies of Marine Economy and Sustainable Development,Liaoning Normal University,Dalian 116029,Liaoning,China;School of Business Administration,Northeastern University,Shenyang 110819,China)

机构地区：[1]辽宁师范大学海洋经济与可持续发展研究中心,辽宁大连116029 [2]东北大学工商管理学院,沈阳110819

出　　处：《技术经济》2020年第12期1-8,共8页Journal of Technology Economics

基　　金：国家自然科学基金“资源约束下中国沿海地区海洋经济系统与海洋资源系统时空耦合机理与典型区域调控”(41671119);辽宁省教育厅项目“辽宁海岛地区生态文明建设的实现路径与对策研究——以长海县为例”(W201683605);中国博士后科学基金“区域创新要素空间效应的外溢特征研究”(2020M680960)。

摘　　要：创新驱动是破解中国区域不平衡不充分发展的突破口,是实现高质量发展的助推器。采用2003-2017年中国30个省市(因数据缺失,不包括西藏地区和港澳台地区)面板数据,运用全局参比Malmquist模型测度了中国区域高质量发展水平,并通过构建指标体系分别对中国各省市的平衡发展和充分发展水平进行了评价,然后通过门槛回归模型分析了在不同平衡和充分发展水平下创新驱动对于高质量发展的影响机制。结果发现:①区域高质量发展水平呈现出先下降后上升的变化趋势;②各省市平衡和充分发展水平均呈现上升趋势,但各省市之间的变化情况差异较大,有明显的空间集聚特征;③在不同的平衡及充分发展水平下,创新驱动对高质量发展的影响机制是不同的,当平衡充分发展水平较低时,创新驱动对高质量发展没有显著影响;当平衡充分发展达到一定水平时,创新驱动对高质量发展起到一定的促进作用;随着平衡充分发展水平的进一步提高,创新驱动对高质量发展的促进作用越来越大。Innovation-driven is the breakthrough to solve the unbalanced and inadequate development in China,which is also the booster of high-quality development.The global-Malmquist model is used based on the panel data of 30 provinces and cities in China from 2003 to 2017 to measure the high-quality development level of China,and the balanced development and the adequate development level of 30 provinces and cities in China is evaluated by constructing the index systems.Then the mechanism of innovation-driven influence on high-quality development at different levels of balanced and adequate development is analyzed with threshold regression model.The results show as follow.The region’s high-quality development level shows the tendency of declining at the begining and rising up in late.The balanced and adequate development level of every province and city takes on an upward trend,but there are big differences between provinces and cities,which has a obvious spatial agglomeration feature.Under different level of balanced and adequate development,the mechanism of innovation-driven influence on high-quality development is different.The innovation-driven has no significant impact on high-quality development when the level of balanced and adequate development is low.When balanced and adequate development reaches a certain level,innovation-driven plays a certain role in promoting high-quality development.With the further improvement of balanced and adequate development level,innovation-driven’s contribution to promoting high-quality development has become more and more important.

关 键 词：高质量发展 平衡充分发展 创新驱动 全局参比Malmquist模型 门槛回归模型 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济]