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作 者:朱莉红 袁艳红[1] ZHU Li-hong;YUAN Yan-hong(School of Economics and Management,Taiyuan University of'Technology,Taiyuan 030024,China)
机构地区:[1]太原理工大学经济管理学院,山西太原030024
出 处:《数学的实践与认识》2020年第24期256-266,共11页Mathematics in Practice and Theory
基 金:国家自然科学基金青年项目(11901422)。
摘 要:政府承诺到2030年将单位国内生产总值的二氧化碳排放量减少60%至65%.为了达到国家减排目标,根据公平和效率原则,选择各行业经济产值、累计二氧化碳排放量和各行业实际碳强度分别为减排能力、责任和潜力的指标,建立碳强度降低的综合指标体系,量化各行业可能承担的减排责任.由于决策者在分配减负责任时可能会有不同的指标偏好,因此对指标分配不同的权重,并采用聚类分析的方法对结果进行分析.结果表明,农林牧渔业、其他行业、批发、零售业、煤炭开采和洗选业等具有更多的强度降低责任,这些行业有更好的经济条件,更多的累计排放量和更大的减排空间;在同等权重的情况下,减负最重的是那些在其他偏好中至少有一个高指标的行业,单一指标最高的行业没有最大的减排责任;而在其他三个偏好下,指标值最高的行业有最高的减负责任;对于同等权重下的减负责任,公平指标对其的带动作用往往比效率指标更加的明显.The government has committed to reduce carbon dioxide emissions per unit of GDP by 60%to 65%by 2030.In order to achieve the national emission reduction goal,according to the principle of fairness and efficiency,economic output value,cumulative carbon dioxide emissions and actual carbon intensity of each industry are selected as indicators of emission reduction capacity,responsibility and potential,and a comprehensive indicator system of carbon intensity reduction is established to quantify the possible emission reduction responsibilities of all industries.Because the decision-makers may have different index preferences when they allocate responsibility reduction,they allocate different weights to the indexes,and use the cluster analysis method to analyze the results.The results show that agriculture,forestry,animal husbandry and fishery,other industries,wholesale,retail,coal mining and washing industries have higher intensity to reduce the burden,and these industries have better economic conditions,higher cumulative emissions and greater space for emission reduction;under the same weight,the industries with at least one high indicator in other preferences are the industries with the highest single indicator Under the other three preferences,the industry with the highest indicator value has the highest reduction responsibility;for the reduction responsibility under the same weight,the driving role of equity indicators is often more obvious than efficiency indicators.
关 键 词:二氧化碳强度 公平原则 效率原则 碳减排责任分担
分 类 号:X322[环境科学与工程—环境工程] F124.5[经济管理—世界经济]
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