国际金融权力:理论框架与中国策略  

International Financial Power:A Theoretical Framework and Chinese Strategy

作　　者：张发林 Zhang Falin(the Zhou Enlai School of Government of Nankai University)

机构地区：[1]南开大学周恩来政府管理学院

出　　处：《当代亚太》2020年第6期124-152,156,157,共31页Journal of Contemporary Asia-Pacific Studies

基　　金：天津市2020年度哲学社会科学规划课题“后新冠疫情时期中美金融权力竞争研究”(项目编号:TJZZQN20-005);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目的阶段性研究成果。

摘　　要：在国际权力格局变动期,金融的国际权力属性愈发受到关注,但目前关于国际金融权力的界定存在诸多分歧,缺乏综合性的理论分析框架,对中国国际金融权力培育策略的研究也显不足。文章通过剖析权力的三大构成要素,即实力(基础要素)、意愿(战略要素)和能力(操作要素),将国际金融权力定义为:行为体依据其在国际信贷和货币体系中的实力和自身意愿,影响其他行为体的观念及/或行为的能力。依据这一定义,通过区分权力的不同来源,国际金融权力被归类为关系性、结构性、制度性和观念性四种类型。三大构成要素和四种类型权力共同构成了一个一般性的综合分析框架。该定义和分析框架厘清了既有研究中诸多存在分歧或混用的概念,为相关政策分析和经验研究奠定了理论基础。基于这一分析框架,中国国际金融权力的培育策略应考虑如下方面:受到相互依赖的制约,维系比破坏双边金融关系更能增加中国的关系性国际金融权力;提升人民币和中国金融市场的国际地位,降低对美元体系的结构依赖是提升中国结构性国际金融权力的关键;既得利益大国的阻挠和制度路径依赖使国际金融制度的调整缓慢,中国需要一个“进入—改革—创建—退出”的多元化国际金融制度策略。最后,中国观念性国际金融权力的提升需从微观到宏观的多维度策略,供给金融知识,提供可供参考的金融发展经验,为全球金融治理和化解国际金融体系的危机贡献中国方案。During this period of shifting international power,the characteristics of international power vis-à-vis finance has garnered greater levels of attention.That said,there are many different views regarding the definition of international financial power,which further lacks an overarching theoretical framework that can explain the concept.Meanwhile,research on China’s strategy for the development of international financial power is inadequate.By considering each of the three primary components of power:national strength(the foundational component),will(strategy),and capacity(ability to implement),this article defines international financial power as follows:the ability of an actor to influence the norms or behavior of other actors based on that actor’s national strength and strategic will vis-à-vis the international credit and currency regimes.According to this definition,by distinguishing between different sources of power,international financial power is divided into four types:relational,structural,institutional,and normative.These three components and four types of power thereby make up a general overarching framework for analysis.This definition and analytical framework help to clarify what is otherwise an obfuscated and misunderstood concept,thereby providing a theoretical foundation for policy analysis and empirical research.Applying the framework to the case of China,we identify that the following factors should be considered in devising a Chinese strategy of international financial power:when constrained by mutual interdependence,maintaining rather than damaging bilateral financial relations will serve to increase China’s relational financial power;strengthening the Chinese currency(RMB)and the international position of China’s financial markets and reducing reliance on the US Dollar system is key to enhancing China’s structural international financial power;the adjustment of the international financial system is obstructed by the vested interests of great states and institutional path dependenc

关 键 词：国际金融权力 权力竞争 权力策略 全球金融治理 

分 类 号：F83[经济管理—金融学]