技术主题演化与未来发展趋势研究——以驾培驾考专利为例  

A Study on the Evolution and Future Development Trend of Technology Topic——Take Driving Training and Test Patent as an Example

作　　者：郭诗琪 贠强[1] 周杰[1] 陈亮[1] 苟妍 Guo Shiqi;Yun Qiang;Zhou Jie;Chen Liang;Gou Yan(Institute of Scientific and Technical Information of China(Beijing,100038,China))

机构地区：[1]中国科学技术信息研究所,北京100038

出　　处：《小型内燃机与车辆技术》2020年第6期9-16,共8页Small Internal Combustion Engine and Vehicle Technique

摘　　要：主题演化分析可以了解行业主题产生、增强、减弱、聚合、裂变和消亡的过程,发现行业发展现状与趋势。通过可视化工具ITGInsight对中国驾培驾考行业相关专利进行分析,挖掘中国驾培驾考行业的发展动向,结合技术、社会与政策,探讨驾培驾考行业的未来趋势。研究发现:2006年之前是驾培驾考行业政策法规探索完善的时期,发展缓慢;2006年之后,驾培驾考行业呈现出飞速发展趋势,目前已趋于成熟。驾培驾考行业各个研究团队内部合作紧密,但团队间合作有待加强。人工智能是未来的发展方向。Topic evolution analysis can understand the process of industry subject generation,enhancement,weakening,aggregation,fission and extinction,and discover the development status and trend of the industry.Through the visualization tool ITGInsight,this paper analyzes the patents related to the driving training and test industry in China,excavates the development trend of the industry in China,and discusses the future trend of the industry in combination with technology,society and policies.The research results show that the period before 2006 is a period of exploration and improvement of industrial policies and regulations,and the development is slow.Since 2006,the driving training and test industry has shown a rapid development trend,and is now becoming mature.Each research team in the industry has close internal cooperation,but the cooperation between teams needs to be strengthened.Artificial intelligence is the future.

关 键 词：ITGInsight 驾培驾考 文献计量 技术演化分析 可视化 

分 类 号：G306[文化科学]