甘肃省陇南市森林火险气象等级智能网格预报研究  

Study on intelligent grid forecast of forest fire risk meteorologicalgrade in Longnan,Gansu province

作　　者：刘丽 苏军锋 黄应文 LIU Li;SU Jun-feng;HUANG Ying-wen(Longnan Meteorological Bureau,Wudu 746000,Gansu,China)

机构地区：[1]甘肃省陇南市气象局,甘肃武都746000

出　　处：《湖北农业科学》2021年第2期152-157,共6页Hubei Agricultural Sciences

基　　金：甘肃省气象局2019—2020年科技创新趋动发展重点项目;2020年甘肃省气象局研究型科研项目(MS2020-15)。

摘　　要：利用1981—2010年陇南市30年整编气象要素资料及甘肃省中心气象台下发的智能网格预报产品资料,对陇南市森林火险气象等级智能网格预报进行了研究。结果表明,建立了陇南市森林火险气象等级分布图,并根据计算模型预报出间隔24 h未来168 h内,空间分辨率为0.05网格下的全市森林火险的精细化预报预测结果,对甘肃陇南市森林火灾发生发展及气象安全保障服务具有较好的警示作用。Based on meteorological data of Longnan district three decades from 1981 to 2010 and smart grid service data offered by the Meteorological Center of Gansu province,a smart grid technology was proposed to develop delicacy management and enhance forecast⁃ing accuracy of the forest fire danger in Longnan district of Gansu province.The results showed that the meteorological rating map about forest fire danger of Longnan district was created,the prediction results about forest fire hazard can be offered by 0.05 grid of spatial resolution every twenty-four hours in coming 168 hours in Longnan district was obtained.That was very meaningful for prevent⁃ing the Longnan district from fire disaster and improving the public service work about meteorological security.

关 键 词：森林火险 气象等级 智能网格 预报 

分 类 号：S762.2[农业科学—森林保护学]