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作 者:Shuwen ZHAO Yongqiang YU Pengfei LIN Hailong LIU Bian HE Qing BAO Yuyang GUO Lijuan HUA Kangjun CHEN Xiaowei WANG
机构地区:[1]State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics(LASG),Institute of Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100029,China [2]University of Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100049,China [3]Center for ocean Mega-Science,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Qingdao 266071,China [4]Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences,Beijing 100081,China [5]Yunnan University,Kunming 650091,China
出 处:《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》2021年第2期329-339,共11页大气科学进展(英文版)
基 金:supported by the Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences(Grant Nos.XDA19060102 and XDB42000000);the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grants Nos.41530426 and 91958201)。
摘 要:The datasets for the tier-1 Scenario Model Intercomparison Project(ScenarioMIP)experiments from the Chinese Academy of Sciences(CAS)Flexible Global Ocean-Atmosphere-Land System model,finite-volume version 3(CAS FGOALS-f3-L)are described in this study.ScenarioMIP is one of the core MIP experiments in phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project(CMIP6).Considering future CO2,CH4,N2O and other gases’concentrations,as well as land use,the design of ScenarioMIP involves eight pathways,including two tiers(tier-1 and tier-2)of priority.Tier-1 includes four combined Shared Socioeconomic Pathways(SSPs)with radiative forcing,i.e.,SSP1-2.6,SSP2-4.5,SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5,in which the globally averaged radiative forcing at the top of the atmosphere around the year 2100 is approximately 2.6,4.5,7.0 and 8.5 W m−2,respectively.This study provides an introduction to the ScenarioMIP datasets of this model,such as their storage location,sizes,variables,etc.Preliminary analysis indicates that surface air temperatures will increase by about 1.89℃,3.07℃,4.06℃ and 5.17℃ by around 2100 under these four scenarios,respectively.Meanwhile,some other key climate variables,such as sea-ice extension,precipitation,heat content,and sea level rise,also show significant long-term trends associated with the radiative forcing increases.These datasets will help us understand how the climate will change under different anthropogenic and radiative forcings.
关 键 词:CMIP6 ScenarioMIP FGOALS-f3-L coupled model data description
分 类 号:P46[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]
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