全球数字服务贸易格局及中国的贸易地位分析  

International Digital Services Trade Pattern and China's Trade Status

作　　者：温湖炜 舒斯哲 郑淑芳 HUWEI WEN;SIZHE SHU;SHUFANG ZHENG(Research Center for Central China Economic and Social Development,Nanchang University;School of Agriculture Economics and Rural Development,Renmin University of China;School of Economics and Management,Nanchang University)

机构地区：[1]南昌大学中国中部经济社会发展研究中心 [2]南昌大学经济管理学院 [3]中国人民大学农业与农村发展学院

出　　处：《产业经济评论》2021年第1期50-64,共15页Review of Industrial Economics

基　　金：全国统计科学研究项目重点项目“我国数字贸易发展及其出口潜力的多维统计测度研究”(批准号:2019LZ36);教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金“经济政策不确定性与OFDI企业价值链参与研究:参与程度与分工地位”(批准号:19YJC790200)的阶段性成果。

摘　　要：本文选用产业识别法测度了世界主要经济体的数字服务贸易,利用社会网络模型揭示全球数字服务贸易网络的空间特征及中国在全球网络中的地位。结果表明:中国数字服务贸易存在结构性失衡且常年处于逆差地位,数字服务贸易出口主要依赖于专业技术服务出口;中国在全球数字服务贸易网络中长期处于弱势地位,但近年来呈现向核心区域靠近的趋势,数字服务贸易伙伴也趋于多元化。进一步将传统贸易引力模型拓展至数字服务贸易领域,考察中国数字服务贸易发展的影响因素。研究发现,互联网基础设施和知识产权保护对中国数字服务进出口均有着显著的正向影响,文化距离和电子交易领域的政策壁垒阻碍了数字服务贸易发展,支付系统领域的政策壁垒对出口有负向效应,对进口影响不显著。This paper measures the digital service trade of the major economies in the worlds by employing the method of industrial identification,and then uses the social network analysis method to analyze the characteristics of the world trade network of digital services and China's trade status.The results show that China's digital service trade is structurally unbalanced and always in deficit position,and the export of digital service mainly depends on the professional technical services.China has long been in a weak position in the global digital services trade network,but in recent years,it has been approaching the core region,and the partners of China's digital service trade are also becoming diversified.This paper further expands the traditional trade gravity model to the digital service trade field,and investigates the influencing factors of the development of China's digital service trade.The result finds that internet infrastructure and intellectual property protection have significant positive impacts on both the import and export of digital services,cultural distance and policy barriers in the field of electronic transactions hinder the development of digital services trade,and policy barriers in the field of payment system have a negative effect on exports,while have no significant impact on imports.

关 键 词：数字服务贸易 社会网络分析 统计测度 贸易地位 

分 类 号：F740[经济管理—国际贸易] C829[经济管理—产业经济]