基于组合赋权的空管系统安全风险物元评价  

Safety Risk Evaluation of Air Traffic Management System Based on Combination Weights Method and Matter Element Model

作　　者：唐家文 董兵 TANG Jiawen;DONG Bing(College of Air Traffic Management,Civil Aviation Flight University of China,Guanghan 618307,China)

机构地区：[1]中国民用航空飞行学院空中交通管理学院,广汉618307

出　　处：《航空工程进展》2021年第1期30-38,共9页Advances in Aeronautical Science and Engineering

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(U1233105);中国民航飞行学院科研基金(J2018-22,Q2015-074)。

摘　　要：空管系统的安全风险状况对航空运输安全运营有直接的影响。综合考虑空管系统安全运行管理的特点,构建空管系统安全风险的评价指标体系;应用欧几里得距离函数对空管系统安全风险评价指标进行组合赋权,确定空管系统安全风险评价指标的组合权重;引入物元分析方法建立空管系统安全风险评价物元模型,并进行实例验证。结果表明:物元分析方法能够评估空管系统整体的安全风险状况,得到了各个评价指标的安全风险状况,有助于采取针对性的有效措施提高空管部门的安全风险管理水平。The safety risk situation of the air traffic management system directly affects the safe operation of air transportation.Comprehensively considering the safety operation characteristics of air traffic management system,the evaluation index system of safety risk is constructed.The combination weights of the air traffic control system evaluation index are determined by means of the Euclidean distance function.The matter-element analysis method is introduced to establish the matter-element model,and verified with instances.The results show that the matter-element analysis method can obtain the overall safety risk status of the air traffic management system,and obtain the safety risk status of each evaluation index,which is helpful to take effective measures to improve the safety risk management level of the air traffic management department.

关 键 词：空管系统 安全风险评价 物元模型 组合赋权 欧几里得距离函数 

分 类 号：V355.1[航空宇航科学与技术—人机与环境工程] X92[环境科学与工程—安全科学]