我国欠发达地区可持续发展能力评估——基于宁南山区的DEA方法  

Assessment of the Capacity for Sustainable Development in Underdeveloped Areas of China——DEA Methods Based on Ningnan Mountain Area

作　　者：马于凡 高桂英[1] 樊新刚 Ma Yu-fan;Gao Gui-ying;Fan Xin-gang(Ningxia University School of Economics and Management,Developmen-Yinchuan 750021,China;Ningxia University Research Center of Western Developmen-Yinchuan 750021,China)

机构地区：[1]宁夏大学经济管理学院,银川750021 [2]宁夏大学西部发展研究中心,银川750021

出　　处：《陕西行政学院学报》2021年第1期118-123,共6页Journal of Shaanxi Academy of Governance

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目“宁夏限制开发生态区可持续经济社会规模的热力学多方法集成研究”(41761116);宁夏自然科学基金项目“宁东能源化工基地产业能量转化效率与最优发展规模研究”(NZ17027)。

摘　　要：欠发达地区的可持续发展问题较为突出,而宁夏南部山区地处我国黄土高原向干旱风沙区的过渡地带,生态脆弱,发展与生态保护间的张力长期存在。对其可持续发展能力进行评估,可以为欠发达地区决策者提供参考。选取宁南山区在能源消耗、环境污染、劳动力和资金、经济发展、社会事业与人民生活、人口发展等6个方面指标,利用主成分分析法,计算出每个指标的综合得分,运用DEA方法评估其可持续发展能力。结果显示欠发达地区政府投入应与地方可持续发展能力相适应,不能急于求成。The problem of sustainable development in less developed areas is more prominent,while the southern mountain area of Ningxia is located in the transition zone from the Loess Plateau to the arid and sandy area in China,with fragile ecology and long-term tension between development and ecological protection.Therefore,this study takes the southern mountain area of Ningxia as an example to evaluate its sustainable development capacity,in order to provide reference for policy makers in underdeveloped areas.Taking Ningnan Mountain Area as the research object,this paper selects six indexes of energy consumption,environmental pollution,labor and capital,economic development,social development,people’s life and population development in Ningnan Mountain Area from 2010 to2017,calculates the comprehensive score of each index by principal component analysis,and evaluates its sustainable development ability by DEA method.The results show that Ningnan Mountain area has good sustainable development ability in most years,and three years are ineffective years of DEA,which may be caused by a certain degree of input redundancy caused by the implementation of policies.Therefore,Government investment in less developed regions should be adapted to local sustainable development capacity and should neither act too hastily.

关 键 词：可持续发展能力 主成分分析法 数据包络分析法 宁南山区 

分 类 号：D082[政治法律—政治学]