市场调控长效机制对房地产市场结构的影响研究  

Research on the Effect of Market Regulation Long-term Mechanism on the Structure of Real Estate Market

作　　者：刘华 LIU Hua(BRC Ecological Envioronment Industry Co.,Ltd,Chengdu 611730,China)

机构地区：[1]蓝光生态环境产业集团有限公司,四川成都611730

出　　处：《建筑经济》2021年第2期9-13,共5页Construction Economy

摘　　要：根据市场调控长效机制的六项政策选取14个变量,对这些变量进行处理和检验后,将其作为向量自回归(VAR)模型的内生变量,采用VAR模型分析各政策对成交量、价格与住房需求的反应时间以及长期贡献度的影响等。结果表明,各政策对房价与成交量的影响时间更久,信贷政策对房价与住房需求的影响程度最高,城市更新政策中的更新项目运营阶段对房价的提升效果更显著。According to the six policies of the long-term mechanism of market regulation,this paper selects14 variables.After processing and testing these variables,takes them as endogenous variables of vector autoregressive(VAR)model,uses VAR model to analyze the effect of various policies on transaction volume,price and housing demand response time and long-term contribution.The results show that each policy has a longer effect on house price and turnover,credit policy has the highest effect on housing price and housing demand,and the operation stage of urban renewal policy has a more significant effect on housing price.

关 键 词：市场调控 长效机制 房地产 市场结构 

分 类 号：F299.23[经济管理—国民经济]