局部等级视角下的东亚安全秩序与中美战略竞争  

A Partially Hierarchical Approach to East Asian Security Order and China-U.S. Strategic Competition

作　　者：刘若楠[1] 孙学峰[2] LIU Ruo-nan;SUN Xue-feng(不详)

机构地区：[1]对外经济贸易大学国际关系学院,北京100029 [2]清华大学国际关系研究院,北京100084

出　　处：《东北亚论坛》2021年第1期43-61,127,共20页Northeast Asia Forum

基　　金：教育部哲学社会科学重大课题攻关项目(16JZD027)。

摘　　要：东亚秩序转型是冷战后国际关系学界争论的重要问题。在回顾既有争论的基础上,本文尝试从局部等级视角切入,分析东亚安全秩序的性质及其转型动力。局部等级体系由体系唯一超级大国领导的地区安全等级与区域内自助国家共同构成。冷战结束以来,东亚地区呈现出典型的局部等级体系特征,并在中国持续崛起的过程中逐步形成了以战略对冲为主要行为模式的安全秩序。尽管当前美国对华政策的对抗性不断增强,但是在局部等级体系下中国坚持战略对冲不但可以有效缓解自身面临的崛起困境,而且有助于防止中美陷入美苏冷战式的集团对抗,以战略对冲为核心特征的东亚安全秩序也将因此得以延续。这些发现一定程度上深化了地区安全秩序和大国竞争的理论研究,同时也有助于中美两国更为有效地管控其在东亚地区的战略竞争。The transformation of the Post-Cold War East Asian security order is a topic that has sparked intense debate over past decades. This article develops a partially hierarchical approach to analyse the nature and dynamic of East Asia security order. A partially hierarchical system can be identified in a region composed of self-help states and the regional security hierarchy led by the sole superpower in an international system. In the Post-Cold War era,East Asia has witnessed its transformation into a partially hierarchical system in which a regional pattern(security order) of strategic hedging has emerged in the context of China’s rise. Against the backdrop of a tougher U.S. policy toward China,a rising China’s adherence to strategic hedging in the partially hierarchical system can not only effectively moderate its dilemma of rising powers,but also help prevent China and the U.S. from being trapped into the Soviet-U.S. bloc confrontation in the Cold War era. The strategic hedging pattern is,therefore,likely to be sustained in East Asia in the coming decade. These findings can help us to refine current theories of regional security order and great power competition and seek more effective management of China-U.S. strategic competition in East Asia and beyond.

关 键 词：东亚秩序 安全等级 崛起困境 战略对冲 中美战略竞争 

分 类 号：F114[经济管理—国际贸易]