水泵制造企业物料管理现状及需求预测——以JS制泵企业为例  

Current Situation and Demand Forecast of Material Management in Water Pump Manufacturing Enterprises——Taking JS Pump Company as an Example

作　　者：徐静 周嘉忱 郭延广 陈昆 XU Jing;ZHOU Jia-chen;GUO Yan-guang;CHEN Kun(Yangzhou University,Yangzhou 225000;Ningbo Jushen Pump Industry Co.,Ltd.,Ningbo 315010,China)

机构地区：[1]扬州大学,江苏扬州225000 [2]宁波巨神制泵实业有限公司,浙江宁波315010

出　　处：《物流工程与管理》2021年第2期32-34,共3页Logistics Engineering and Management

摘　　要：对水泵制造企业物料需求进行有效预测,可实现企业对物料管理的优化,以提升企业自身的核心竞争力。文中以JS制泵企业为例,结合物料管理现状,运用温特斯季节指数平滑模型对未来销售量进行预测,实例数据分析表明:运用温特斯季节指数平滑模型预测准确度较高,具有合理性与有效性,可为水泵制造企业物料管理提供借鉴。Effectively forecasting the material demand of water pump manufacturing enterprises can realize the optimization of the material management of the enterprise and enhance the core competitiveness of the enterprise.This paper taking the JS pump company as an example,combined with the current situation of material management,the Winters seasonal exponential smoothing model is used to predict future sales.The analysis of the example data shows that the forecasting accuracy of the Winters seasonal exponential smoothing model is relatively high,reasonable and effectiveness.It can provide reference for the material management of water pump manufacturers.

关 键 词：制造企业 物料管理 需求预测 温特斯模型 季节指数 

分 类 号：F251[经济管理—国民经济]