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作 者:李志远[1] 林怡纯 LI Zhiyuan;LIN Yichun(School of Economics,Fudan University,Shanghai 200433,China)
机构地区:[1]复旦大学经济学院,上海200433
出 处:《长安大学学报(社会科学版)》2021年第1期47-55,共9页Journal of Chang'an University(Social Science Edition)
基 金:国家自然科学基金项目(7177302);教育部人文社会科学研究基金项目(17YJA790053)。
摘 要:为分析RCEP对RCEP自贸区内货物贸易的影响,以中国的进口关税为切入点,结合2000~2013年中国海关进口数据和2005~2014年WITS关税数据,研究RCEP关税削减产生的影响。研究认为,根据中国对其他RCEP成员国的关税承诺,进口自贸区内90%的产品将最终实现零关税,其中来自日本、韩国的进口商品将得到比其他RCEP成员国更大幅度的关税削减或免除;日本和韩国的中间品、消费品,澳大利亚和新西兰的资源密集型产品,东盟国家的技术密集型中间品、资源密集型中间品,均将随着关税削减而增长;中国与RCEP国家间的产业内分工将进一步深化,产业间贸易也将为满足消费者的需求提供更丰富的选择。In order to analyze the impact of Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership(RCEP)on the trade of goods in the RCEP free trade area,this paper takes China's import tariffs as the entry point and combines the import data of Chinese customs from 2000 to 2013 as well as the data of WITS tariffs from 2005 to 2014 to study the impact of RCEP tariff reduction.It is found that according to China's tariff commitment to other RCEP member states,90%of the products imported from the RCEP zone will achieve zero tariff in the long run,among which,the imports from Japan and South Korea will enjoy more significant tariff reduction or exemption than those from other RCEP member states.Intermediate goods and consumer goods from Japan and South Korea,resource-intensive products from Australia and New Zealand,technology-intensive intermediate goods and resource-intensive intermediate goods from ASEAN countries will all increase with tariff reduction.The intra-industry division of labor between China and RCEP countries will be further deepened,and inter-industry trade will also provide more choices to meet the needs of consumers.
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