基于C-D拓展模型的武汉市GDP增长影响因素研究——以1978—2017年截面数据为例  

Research on Influencing Factors of GDP Growth in Wuhan Based on C-D Expansion Model—Taking the Section Data from 1978 to 2017 As an Example

作　　者：刘薇薇[1] 张小红 Liu Wei-wei;Zhang Xiao-hong(Hubei University of Chinese Medicine,Wuhan 430065,China)

机构地区：[1]湖北中医药大学,武汉430065

出　　处：《经济研究导刊》2021年第5期39-43,共5页Economic Research Guide

摘　　要：通过分析武汉市GDP增长的影响因素,为研究区域经济发展提供政策参考。方法:借用C-D拓展模型分析武汉市GDP增长的影响因素。结果:除固定资产投资总额、社会消费品零售总额和货物进出口总额外,还有其他因素对GDP产生影响。即固定资产投资总额每增加1%时武汉市的GDP增加了0.041%,社会消费品零售总额每增加1%时武汉市的GDP增加0.56%,规模以上工业总产值每增加1%时武汉市的GDP增加0.37%;暂时未找到高新技术产业产值和从业人员数量对武汉市GDP贡献的证据。结论:影响武汉市GDP增长的主要因素为社会消费品零售总额和规模以上工业总产值,对GDP的贡献度达到92.6%,货物进出口总额影响较低。Provide policy reference for the study of regional economic development by analyzing the influencing factors of Wuhan’s GDP growth.Methods:using C-D expansion model to analyze the influencing factors of Wuhan’s GDP growth.Results:in addition to the total investment in fixed assets,the total retail sales of social consumer goods and the total import and export of goods,there are other factors that have an impact on GDP.That is to say,when the total investment in fixed assets increases by 1%,Wuhan’s GDP increases by 0.041%,when the total retail sales of social consumer goods increases by 1%,Wuhan’s GDP increases by 0.56%,and when the total output value of large-scale industries increases by 1%,Wuhan’s GDP increases by 0.37%.There is no evidence that the output value of high-tech industries and the number of employees contribute to Wuhan’s GDP.Conclusion:the factors that affect Wuhan’s GDP growth are as follows The main factors are the total retail sales of social consumer goods and the total output value of industries above Designated Size,which contributes 92.6%to GDP.The total import and export of goods has a relatively low impact.

关 键 词：武汉市 C-D拓展模型 GDP增长 影响因素 

分 类 号：F207[经济管理—国民经济]