风险预期、生计资本对农户宅基地退出意愿的影响及其代际差异——基于江西省456份农户调查数据  

Influence of Risk Expectation and Livelihood Capital on Farmers’Willingness to Withdraw Homestead and Its Intergenerational Differences:Based on Survey Data of 456 Households in Jiangxi Province

作　　者：邝佛缘 陈美球[2] KUANG Fo-yuan;CHEN Mei-qiu(Faculty of Geographical Science,Beijing Normal University,Beijing 100875,China;Research Center on Rural Land Resources Use and Protection/The Key Laboratory of Poyang Lake Basin Agricultural Resources and Ecology of Jiangxi Province,Jiangxi Agricultural University,Nanchang 330045,China)

机构地区：[1]北京师范大学地理科学学部,北京100875 [2]江西农业大学农村土地资源利用与保护研究中心/江西省鄱阳湖流域农业资源与生态重点实验室,江西南昌330045

出　　处：《农林经济管理学报》2021年第1期92-101,共10页Journal of Agro-Forestry Economics and Management

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(71473112);江西省研究生创新专项资金资助项目(YC2016-S182);江西省青年马克思主义者理论研究创新工程(17QM26)。

摘　　要：利用江西省456份农户问卷调查数据,借鉴目标设置理论,实证分析风险预期、生计资本对农户宅基地退出意愿影响的主效应和调节效应及其代际差异。结果表明:总体而言,农户面对宅基地退出决策时表现出较强的风险规避,风险预期对农户宅基地退出意愿具有负向影响。不同程度的风险预期对农户宅基地退出意愿的影响存在代际差异:“轻度风险”对新一代农户的宅基地退出意愿有正向作用,而对老一代农户有负向影响。生计资本对农户的宅基地退出意愿起到正向影响,且在风险预期和宅基地退出意愿的关系中起到调节作用。生计资本的这种调节作用也存在代际差异,表现为生计资本对新一代农户起到更强的调节作用。基于此,建议统筹完善城乡社会保障体系,组织农户开展职业技能培训,进而提高农民的生计能力,构建差别化的宅基地退出机制。Using the survey data of 456 farmers’questionnaires in Jiangxi Province and the goal-setting theory,the paper empirically analyzed the main effect and regulation effect of risk expectation and livelihood capital on farmers’willingness to withdraw homestead and the influence of intergenerational differences.The results show that farmers have strong risk aversion when facing the decision of homestead withdrawal,and that their risk expectation has a negative impact on their willingness to withdraw homestead.There exist intergenerational differences in the influence of different risk expectation degree on the willingness:“mild risk”has a positive effect on the new generation of farmers while it has a negative impact on the old generation of farmers.Livelihood capital has a positive impact,regulating the relationship between risk expectation and the willingness to withdraw homestead.There also exist intergenerational differences in the regulatory role of livelihood capital,manifested in the stronger regulatory role of livelihood capital to the new generation of farmers.Therefore,it is suggested that we should improve the urban and rural social security system,organize farmers to carry out vocational skills training,improve their livelihood ability,and build differentiated homestead withdrawal mechanism.

关 键 词：风险预期 生计资本 宅基地退出意愿 代际差异 江西省 

分 类 号：F321.1[经济管理—产业经济]