土地供给与产业结构转变——基于地方政府经营城市的视角  

Land Supply and Industrial Structure Transformation--A Perspective from Operating Cities by Local Government

作　　者：闫昊生 孙久文[2] 张泽邦 YAN Haosheng;SUN Jiuwen;ZHANG Zebang(Central University of Finance and Economics, Beijing, China;Renmin University, Beijing, China)

机构地区：[1]中央财经大学财经研究院,100081 [2]中国人民大学应用经济学院,100872

出　　处：《经济学动态》2020年第11期100-114,共15页Economic Perspectives

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大招标项目“中国特色社会主义政治经济学体系中的国家理论”(19ZDA057);中国博士后科学基金资助项目(2020M680837)资助。

摘　　要：制造业与服务业的协调发展对于保障经济持续、高质量发展至关重要。本文借助“低丘缓坡”试点这一增加用地指标的外生冲击,利用双重差分方法研究了土地供给对于产业结构转变的影响,并从地方政府经营城市的角度进行了机制分析。结果表明,增加土地供给会缓解城市产业结构向服务业的转变,这一结果经过一系列稳健性检验后保持稳健。进一步分析表明,地方政府建设用地出让结构的转变是产业结构转变的作用途径,而地方政府对于土地财政的依赖和其面临的土地利用集约化压力是上述途径发挥作用的内在原因。本文的研究不仅为中国产业结构转变提供了新的解释,也丰富了对当前建设用地管理模式的评价。Alleviating the problem of service-oriented economic structure is crucial to ensure sustained and high-quality economic development in China.Exploiting a pilot project that increased land quota and utilizing the difference-in-difference approach,this paper studies the impact of land supply on industrial structure,and analyzes the mechanism from the perspective of operating cities by local government.The results show that increasing land supply prohibits the industrial structure from becoming more service-oriented.It remains robust to some sensitivity checks.The paper also finds that the transformation of the construction land leasing structure is a channel.And the local government's dependence on land finance and the pressure of intensive land usage are the driving forces.This study not only provides a new explanation for China's service-oriented industrial structure,but also enriches the evaluation of the current construction land supply pattern.

关 键 词：土地供给 产业结构 经营城市 

分 类 号：F12[经济管理—世界经济]