东北三省经济增长动态效率测度及分析——基于动态效率理论下AMSZ准则  

Measurement of Economic Dynamic Effi ciency in Northeast China——Based on AMSZ Criterion of Dynamic Effi ciency Theory

作　　者：邢天怡 尹俊伟[2] XING Tianyi;YIN Junwei

机构地区：[1]中国人民银行哈尔滨中心支行,黑龙江哈尔滨150000 [2]中国人民银行佳木斯市中心支行,黑龙江佳木斯154000

出　　处：《吉林金融研究》2021年第1期18-21,55,共5页Journal of Jilin Financial Research

摘　　要：经济增长理论中,动态效率低下指经济体储蓄、投资过多,消费未最大化的现象。美学者Abel(1989)提出AMSZ评判准则,即资本回报大于或等于资本投入时,经济动态有效。本文在分析经济增长动态效率理论基础上,使用AMSZ准则对东北三省经济增长动态效率进行测算。结果表明自2000年以来东北三省经济增长基本是动态有效的;但从2013年起资本积累效率开始下降,出现动态无效状态,这表明以往依靠投资驱动发展已难以为继,须提高资本产出效率、优化资源配置、提升技术水平,以实现可持续发展。In the theory of economic growth,dynamic ineffi ciency refers to the phenomenon that the economy saves and invests too much and the consumption is not maximized.Abel(1989)proposed AMSZ criterion,when the return on capital is greater than or equal to the capital input,the economic dynamic is eff ective.Based on the analysis of the dynamic effi ciency theory of economic growth,this paper uses AMSZ criterion to calculate the dynamic effi ciency of economic growth in Northeast China.The results show that since 2000,the economic growth of the three northeast provinces has been basically dynamic and eff ective;but since 2013,the effi ciency of capital accumulation has begun to decline,showing a dynamic invalid state.This shows that it is diffi cult to sustain the development driven by investment in the past.It is necessary to improve the efficiency of capital output,optimize the allocation of resources and improve the level of technology in order to achieve sustainable development.

关 键 词：动态效率 AMSZ准则 经济增长 

分 类 号：F830[经济管理—金融学]