双边关系、制度环境与中国对“一带一路”国家OFDI的出口创造效应  

Bilateral Relations,Institutional Environment and Export Creation Effects of China’s OFDI in the Countries Along the Belt and Road

作　　者：聂世坤 叶泽樱 NIE Shi-kun;YE Ze-ying(不详)

机构地区：[1]辽宁大学国际经济政治学院 [2]中山大学管理学院

出　　处：《国际经贸探索》2021年第2期67-82,共16页International Economics and Trade Research

摘　　要：在新新贸易理论框架下,文章通过引入制度环境与双边关系,构建了用于解释OFDI出口创造效应国家异质性表现的理论模型,并以2003~2018年我国对44个"一带一路"国家的投资与出口数据进行实证检验。结果显示,对沿线国家的OFDI出口创造效应虽存在,但较小;东道国制度环境对OFDI出口创造效应具有正向影响,但在2010年后则发生逆转;双边关系的改善能进一步提高制度环境对OFDI出口创造效应的调节力度;OFDI出口创造效应在制度环境、双边关系"双优"的国家上表现得最突出;双边关系对制度环境的逆向调节大于顺向调节。Under the framework of new-new trade theory, this paper constructs a theoretical model to explain national heterogeneity of export creation effects of OFDI and carries out empirical test based on the data of China’s investment and export to 44 countries along the Belt and Road( B&R) from 2003 to 2018 by introducing the institutional environment and bilateral relations. The results show that the export creation effects of OFDI on the countries along B&R exist but are small;the institutional environment of the host country has a positive impact on export creation effects of OFDI, but it reversed after 2010;the improvement of bilateral relations can further enhance the regulatory effect of institutional environment on export creation effects of OFDI;export creation effects of OFDI are the most prominent in the countries where institutional environment and bilateral relations are both excellent;the reverse adjustment of bilateral relations to institutional environment is greater than the forward adjustment.

关 键 词：对外直接投资 出口创造效应 一带一路 国家异质性 新新贸易理论 

分 类 号：F752.62[经济管理—国际贸易]