人口老龄化、区域创新与新型城镇化发展关系研究  

Study on Relationship among Population Aging, Regional Innovation and New-style Urbanization Development

作　　者：黄桂林[1] 许如意 王新政 

机构地区：[1]东北林业大学土木工程学院 [2]东北林业大学研究生院

出　　处：《价格理论与实践》2020年第3期159-162,共4页Price:Theory & Practice

基　　金：国家重点研发计划(2016YFC0701600);中央高校创新团队持续发展专项基金(2572017ET04)。

摘　　要：积极应对人口老龄化是实现经济高质量发展的必要保障。本文基于中国2005-2018年省级面板数据,构建空间滞后模型,研究人口老龄化与新型城镇化发展的关系,探讨区域创新在二者之间的调节效应。研究结果表明:人口老龄化对新型城镇化发展具有较为明显的区域差异性;区域创新在人口老龄化影响城镇化的过程中发挥调节作用,促进新型城镇化的发展;具体来看,区域创新在我国东中西三大地区人口老龄化影响城镇化过程中均表现出双重门限特征,随着全国东、西部区域创新能力跨越两个门限值,中部区域创新能力跨越一个门限值,区域创新表现为减轻人口老龄化对新型城镇化发展的负向影响。Actively coping with population aging is a necessary guarantee for achieving high-quality economic development. This paper not only analyzes the interaction between population aging and new-style urbanization but also explores the moderating effect of regional innovation in virtue of collecting data from 31 provinces and cities from 2005 to 2018 and establishing a spatial lag model.The results of analysis show that there is the obvious regional differences the impact of population aging on new-style urbanization;Regional innovation plays a regulatory role in the process of population aging affects urbanization and promotes the development of new-type urbanization by regulating action.Specifically, regional innovation presents double threshold characteristic in the process of urbanization affected by population aging in three major regions of China, for the whole country, eastern and western region,with the regional innovation ability leap over the two threshold value, but for the central region, with the regional innovation ability leap over the a threshold value,regional innovation is able to reduce the negative influence of population aging on the development of new-style urbanization.

关 键 词：人口老龄化 区域创新 新型城镇化 面板门限模型 

分 类 号：C924.24[社会学—人口学] D669.6[政治法律—政治学] F124.3[政治法律—中外政治制度] F299.21