普惠金融与农村产业融合发展的耦合协同关系及动态演进  

Study on the Coupling Cooperative Relationship and its Dynamic Evolution of Inclusive Finance and Integrated Development of Rural Industries

作　　者：张林[1,2] 张雯卿[2] ZHANG Lin;ZHANG Wenqing(Center for Inclusive Finance and Agricultural & Rural Development,Chongqing 400715,China;College of Economics and Management, Southwest University, Chongqing 400715,China)

机构地区：[1]西南大学普惠金融与农业农村发展研究中心,重庆400715 [2]西南大学经济管理学院,重庆400715

出　　处：《财经理论与实践》2021年第2期2-11,共10页The Theory and Practice of Finance and Economics

基　　金：重庆社会科学规划一般项目(2020YBJJ57);教育部人文社科研究青年项目(18YJC790218);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金重点项目(SWU2009215)。

摘　　要：基于2008-2018年中国30个省份的面板数据,测算普惠金融与农村产业融合发展的耦合协调度,并采用Dagum基尼系数、核密度估计和马尔科夫链分析法研究系统耦合协调度的区域差异及分布动态演进趋势。结果表明:当前中国普惠金融和农村产业融合发展水平整体偏低,大多数省份普惠金融与农村产业融合发展的耦合协调度处于勉强协调或中度协调,两个系统的协调状态主要表现为普惠金融相对滞后;普惠金融与农村产业融合发展的耦合协调度存在较大区域差异,地区相对差异和地区绝对差异都随着农村产业融合发展试点推进而逐渐缩小。Based on the panel data of 30 provinces in China form 2008 to 2018,this paper measures the coupling coordination degree of inclusive financial and integrated development of rural industries,and Dagum Gini index,Kernel density estimation and Markov Chain are used to study the regional difference and dynamic evolution of these two systems.The results show that the levels of two systems are generally low,the coordination degree of two systems is barely coordinated or medium coordinated,and the level of inclusive finance lags behind the integrated development of rural industries.There are significant regional differences in the coupling degrees between the two systems,the regional relative differences and the regional absolute differences are gradually narrowed with the promotion of the pilot project of the integrated development of rural industries.

关 键 词：普惠金融 农村产业融合发展 系统协调度 区域差异 动态演进 

分 类 号：F832.43[经济管理—金融学]