吉林省2005-2019年麻疹时空分布特征  

Spatial-temporal characteristics of measles in Jilin province,2005-2019

作　　者：周剑惠[1] 田鑫[1] 程涛[1] 林琳[1] 曹凤瑞[1] 付思美[1] 吕淑梅[1] 武懿 李永强 王爽[1] 单元春[1] Zhou Jianhui;Tian Xin;Cheng Tao;Lin Lin;Cao Fengrui;Fu Simei;Lv Shumei;Wu Yi;Li Yongqiang;Wang Shuang;Shan Yuanchun(Jilin Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Changchun 130062,Jilin,China)

机构地区：[1]吉林省疾病预防控制中心,吉林长春130062

出　　处：《中国疫苗和免疫》2021年第1期67-69,78,共4页Chinese Journal of Vaccines and Immunization

摘　　要：目的分析吉林省2005-2019年麻疹发病的时空分布特征。方法通过中国麻疹监测信息报告管理系统收集2005-2019年吉林省麻疹发病数据,采用局部空间自相关分析和时空扫描分析以发现麻疹发病热点区域和时空聚集性。结果吉林省2005-2019年麻疹报告发病率在0.08/10万-17.41/10万之间。局部空间自相关分析发现100个麻疹发病热点区域,共涉及43个县(市、区);时间扫描分析发现1个发病时间聚集,发生在2005-2006年(RR=6.43,P<0.01);空间扫描分析发现11个空间聚集(RR=1.29-3.28,P<0.01);时空扫描分析发现1个时空聚集,发生在2005-2009年,涉及27个县(市、区)(RR=6.54,P<0.01)。结论吉林省2005-2019年麻疹发病具有时空聚集性,需加强热点区域和时空聚集区域的麻疹防控。Objective To analyze spatial-temporal characteristics of measles during 2005-2019 in Jilin province.Methods We obtained measles incidences during 2005-2019 in Jilin from the China Measles Surveillance Information System and used local spatial autocorrelation analysis and spatial-temporal scanning analysis to identify hot spots and spatial-temporal clusters of measles.Results Reported incidence rates ranged 0.08 to 17.41 cases per 100000 population during 2005-2019 in Jilin.Local spatial autocorrelation analysis identified 100 measles hot spots involving 43 counties.Temporal scanning analysis identified one temporal cluster of measles that occurred in 2005-2006(RR=6.43,P<0.01).Spatial scanning analysis identified 11 spatial clusters(RR=1.29-3.28,P<0.01).Spatial-temporal scanning analysis identified one spatial-temporal cluster,which occurred in 2005-2009 and involved 27 counties(RR=6.54,P<0.01).Conclusions The incidence of measles showed spatial-temporal clustering during 2005-2019 in Jilin.We should strengthen measles prevention and control in hot spots and spatial-temporal clustering areas.

关 键 词：麻疹 时空聚集 局部空间自相关分析 时空扫描分析 

分 类 号：R186[医药卫生—流行病学] R512.62[医药卫生—公共卫生与预防医学]